In this episode, Ted sits down with Richard Tromans, founder of Artificial Lawyer, to discuss the transformative impact of generative AI on the legal industry. From his journey in the legal field to the challenges of adopting innovative technologies, Richard shares his expertise in legal tech, AI, and law firm strategy. Highlighting the tension between tradition and innovation, this conversation explores how cultural shifts and technological advancements are reshaping the legal profession.
In this episode, Richard shares insights on how to:
Understand the potential of generative AI in transforming legal services.
Navigate the challenges of the billable hour model and its impact on innovation.
Embrace cultural change to drive legal tech adoption.
Identify best practices for integrating AI into law firms.
Build relationships and foster collaboration within the legal tech community.
Key takeaways
Generative AI represents a pivotal moment for legal technology.
Law firms must embrace cultural shifts to adopt innovative practices.
The billable hour model poses challenges to tech adoption but is under increasing pressure.
Building relationships is critical for success in the legal tech space.
The future of legal services will require rethinking traditional business models.
About Richard Tromans
Richard Tromans is the founder of Artificial Lawyer, a platform dedicated to transforming the business of law through technology, innovative processes, and reimagined organizational structures. His work focuses on driving change in the legal industry by optimizing the use of people, technology, and processes to improve efficiency and deliver better outcomes.
Legal tech is still seen as decoration…You shave away some of the inefficiency, but it never really gets into the billable work.” – Richard Tromans
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Richard, good to see you this afternoon.
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How are you?
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Hi Ted, thanks for having me on the show.
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I'm pretty good actually.
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Good, good.
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Other than, um, fighting some cold weather there.
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Are you in London?
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Yeah, I'm in London, yeah, North London, yeah.
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think the whole world must be in a cold snap right now because all over the United States,
it's freezing cold and it sounds like it is over in the UK as well.
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Yeah.
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Oh, not as bad as some of the East Coast cities, but it's, you know, it's, pretty bad over
in London.
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Yeah.
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That's true.
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Well, good stuff.
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I appreciate you joining.
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Yeah.
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I think many of our listeners probably know who you are based on your work at artificial
lawyer.
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And, but for those that don't just want to do, give you a chance to do a quick
introduction.
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Yeah.
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I was interested to see that you were, you were an editor at ALM.
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had a short stint at Thompson Reuters and you founded artificial lawyer in
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2016, which was quite a bit before chat GPT lit the world on fire.
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Um, but yeah, why don't you tell us a little bit about, uh, who you are, what you do and
where you do it.
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Yeah, no, sure.
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So I started in the legal world in 1999, so 25, 26 years.
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Oh my God, that's a long time.
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I joined what was effectively a startup in 1999 called Legal Week, which was a legal
magazine focused on big commercial law firms.
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And I joined as an international reporter.
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At that point, it was an independent business created by a couple of people who had left a
more established magazine called The Lawyer.
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in the UK and I was as far as I understand either one of the first international reporters
or the first international reporter for the commercial legal market.
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That is the only thing I did.
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I only covered international mergers, international expansion, office openings, joint
ventures in Singapore, US and UK law firms merging, UK law firms opening an office in
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Amsterdam.
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That was what I did.
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So I got into, so I went straight into strategy.
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So like within, you know, couple of months of getting up to speed with how big law firms
worked, I was right into strategy and the business of law because the first question you
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ask anybody as a journalist, you know, why are you doing this?
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You know, why have you just merged across the Atlantic?
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Why have you just opened in Singapore?
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And then they start telling you stuff.
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And course you've got to try and figure it out and understand it.
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So I very, very, very quickly got introduced into the world of strategy and business,
which is kind of like not what I expected when I trained as a journalist.
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I kind of thought, you know, I'll be working at the Guardian or something like that, you
And so I ended up completely without any planning.
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didn't choose to work at Legal Week.
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just, a friend had a job there and I was looking for a job and...
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The general rule as a junior journalist is just get the first job you can and get going.
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You know, don't sit around, just get going, get cracking.
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I mean, it just took off because the legal market then was very exciting.
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Globalisation was really kicking off.
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The big UK law firms were expanding at an incredible rate.
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It's hard to remember those days.
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I mean, if the legal market now was doing what it did back then, particularly younger
people who probably don't remember
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those early days 25 years ago, would just be amazed.
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mean, know, law firms like Linklaters, for example, just a classic example, went from
being, you know, sort of medium-sized, high-quality magic circle firm in London to forming
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alliances with every major top-tier firm across Europe and then merged with all of them,
pretty much.
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And then expanded in the US, expanded across, you know, Asia Pacific and so forth.
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Just an incredible expansion.
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Now you might think, why is he talking about this?
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Well, that then led to me becoming eventually a management consultant because I was so
focused on business, so focused on strategy that I then became a management consultant and
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I joined a strategy group that was inside Tomton Reuters.
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And then I didn't study that long.
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And then I joined a sort of UK based strategy consultancy.
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I spent five very interesting years there.
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It was kind of like doing an MBA in law firm business strategy and learned an enormous
amount.
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And it was my last year there, which I think was around 2014, 2015.
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One of the things I had, so I was head of research and I also had my own consulting gig,
know, had my own clients.
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And one of my jobs was to do reports, big deep analysis.
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So, you know, like, you know, what's, what's going to happen with growth in China, you
know?
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And so I'd get into the world bank data.
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I'd get into all kinds of huge.
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data analysis projects and I would like rip out the data and analyze it and then try and
like connect it to what was happening in the legal market.
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And you know, and then we would give those to the big law firms who would then sit there
and consider it and then obviously the idea that they would engage you on big consulting
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projects.
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One of the ones that I did was about technology.
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Where is technology going?
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And AI came up.
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Now I've always been interested in technology.
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I've always found it fascinating.
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But AI just kind of popped up and I just thought, yeah, this is really something real.
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And I think the last thing I did while I was working for that consultancy in London was I
did a chapter on AI or legal AI before I'd even heard the term.
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And I just went off on one.
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I was just letting myself go.
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And I was coming up with ideas like, what if two different law firms both had an AI and
the different AIs were using game theory to negotiate a contract?
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And I was, know, I had no, I mean, I'd never read a Legal Tech magazine.
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I didn't even know that Legal Tech was a subject, right?
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I mean, I knew, I knew there was a company or two out there, you know, but I no, I didn't
know what Legal Tech was.
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I hadn't got a clue.
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And this is interesting, I mean, I started in the legal world in 1999, right?
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And I first wrote about Legal Tech or Legal Tech related things in 2015.
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So what's that 16 years, yeah?
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In 16 years, Legal Tech never ever.
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got above a third or fourth tier subject amongst managing partners who were primarily the
people I was talking to.
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Maybe practice heads, but it was almost always managing partners.
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So LegalTech did not come into it at all.
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I mean, was like the only time LegalTech came up with once or twice.
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when someone said, oh yeah, you were having to buy a new practice management system.
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It's a real pain.
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It's really expensive.
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And you know, it's coming off our bottom line.
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And I'm really upset about it.
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And that was it.
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It was just like, okay, well, yeah, whatever.
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Let's get on.
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Let's talk about more interesting stuff.
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Like who you're going to merge with.
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And then the AI changed everything really for me.
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I mean, I did that.
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I mean, after that, just by chance, I've been, you decided, I think I'd probably had
enough of working.
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inside someone else's organization and decided to create my own business.
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So I launched my own consulting business.
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And while I was doing that, I saw something about a company called Raven, which was, which
is now part of Ironman Asian has been absorbed and that brand name has disappeared.
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But it was an independent company in those days.
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And they were, they were, they kept on popping up in the news for the things that they
were doing using AI.
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And I went to their office, which was in Shoreditch, which at that point was super cool.
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who was kind of like Brooklyn in his heyday, super, super cool.
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And they went into their office and they showed me how we could zip through a whole load
of real estate documents.
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And it did it in just a few seconds.
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And it pulled out all the, obviously we didn't do an accuracy check or anything like that.
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I just assumed it was all perfect back in those days.
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And they just laid it all out.
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just went, bang, there you go.
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We pulled out all the key parts of the contract.
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This is this, this is this.
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And they're just like, wow.
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And it just hit me because like for years and years and years I've been working, you know,
with law firms talking about profitability and, you know, know, revenue per theater, the
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leverage model, all of your things, profit margins, you know, I mean, people, people used
to, you know, I mean, most of people, might see my consultant colleagues used to talk
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about timekeepers.
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You know, that was, that was the standard phrase.
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People would just talk about timekeepers.
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You didn't talk about lawyers.
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He talks about timekeepers because
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If you're a consultant to a law firm, there's a whole bunch of different people.
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I mean, in some cases, there are more people who are not lawyers than there are lawyers in
some firms because there's a whole enormous hinterland of support, all kinds of things
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going on.
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Other times it's a smaller.
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But so we talked about timekeepers because that was the bit that was generating revenue,
but it didn't mean that the other part of the business wasn't important.
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And now suddenly here is this thing that I've just looked at.
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And I'm just, you know, and it just, just, boom, it falls into place into my mind.
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I'm just like, this is going to change everything.
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Cause up to that point, the entire business model of law firms had, except, you know, as
has been explored earlier by other people was, you e-discovery, but particularly from a UK
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perspective, which is more transactionally based, there's less, there's less e-discovery
type work over here.
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It just like hit me.
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It's just like, wow.
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If AI takes off in the legal world, the entire basis of the legal industry that I've been
living with and living within for all these years is gonna completely and utterly and
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absolutely transform.
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Now at that point, that was really early days, really early days, end of 2015, beginning
of 2016.
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I didn't understand the subtleties at that point, but I quickly did.
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And I just thought, you this is, this is going to be so transformative.
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It's going to be so transformative.
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And I decided to start a blog, artificial lawyer, which originally was going to be called
several other things, but I settled on artificial lawyer because I thought it was a good
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title.
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And it's funny because I didn't want to talk too much about myself at beginning, but the
funny thing is it actually helps to connect to the bigger issues that I'd like to get into
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as we go along, which is it's all about the means of production.
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Right.
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It's all about productivity.
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It's all about moving from an artisanal manual labor, legal labor model to one that is
industrialized.
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And I remember, I think it's probably after I started artificial lawyer, I remember
changing my job title on LinkedIn to legal industrialist.
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Because I grew up in the Midlands, which was the home of the Industrial Revolution, or at
least part of the Industrial Revolution.
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And the teacher, know, history classes, we were taught about the industrial revolution.
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We didn't do the Napoleonic Wars and stuff like that.
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We did the industrial revolution because it was almost so that were the history teachers
were allowed to pick, you know, variety of options you could focus on, know, Napoleon and
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Wellington and all of that, or you could do something different.
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And our teachers, because we were in the Midlands and, you know, that's where it all
started.
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We focused very, very much on the industrial revolution.
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So we learned about the spinning genny and the beginning of the steam engines and have
railways developed, the growth of factories and iron smelting and all these things.
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And the whole way that industrialization changed the world.
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And so for me, it was kind of like buried in the back of my mind, know, been there for
decades, literally.
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And it just kind of all just fell into place.
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And I was just like, yes, this is it.
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This is literally it.
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is it.
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This is the thing that changes the foundational basis of this industry.
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This is going to be extraordinary.
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Now that was 2016, right?
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Now people were at the time, some people were just like, yeah, this is awesome.
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And, know, I met a whole bunch of people who totally, totally got into it.
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You know, sometimes people were actually into the AI stuff, but they were not as gung-ho
as I was.
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mean, you know, there was a whole bunch of companies pioneering back then, you know, the
people like Kira.
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You know, there was Ebrevia, was Seal.
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There was a whole bunch of AI companies, legal AI companies, the very first way, using
machine learning, natural language processing.
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Now, of course, we look back at what they could achieve and what they can do is still
good, but it looks extremely niche, very narrow.
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And, you know, as time went by, I kind of realized that, you know, AI was as it was then,
was limited.
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But I never really ever gave up hope that there would be this transformation.
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But what I didn't know was that generative AI was going to come around the corner.
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I mean, to me, it just kind of felt that the machine learning AI would just get better and
better and better.
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And that somehow I couldn't quite figure out how it was going to get there.
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It was just going to spread out and really start to have a real impact at last.
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And that's actually, you know, that's one of the reasons why I got so into looking at the
business model.
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Cause like, you know, I'd often think to myself, well, you know, why isn't it spreading?
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Why is it?
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it because, is it because the tech doesn't work?
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But I mean, by sort of 2017, 2018, the tech was pretty good.
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I mean, if you were doing a due diligence task and you'd been using a particular type of,
you know,
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AI software for a long time, for several years, and they'd been training it up, and you'd
been training it up, and you knew what you were doing, you were going to get very accurate
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results.
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It wasn't like the early days, by 2018, 2019.
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And yeah, it just wasn't really picking up.
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I used to go on to the...
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In the UK, you can see how much revenue certain companies make.
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You can see, because it's public.
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And also you could tell just by looking at how many people other companies had hired, you
can have a pretty good guess.
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of what their revenue is.
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You if they've got 10 people, 30 people, 100 people, you know, you can have a guess.
204
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So they're making 5 million, 20, 30, right?
205
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And the revenues for the AI companies were so low, so incredibly low.
206
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And you're like, well, how is that possible?
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They've got a good product.
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A lot of people are still going nuts about it.
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There's so much talk about AI, even in 2018, 2019.
210
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And yet if you look at their revenues, that tells you a completely separate story, right?
211
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Because, you know, financial data really tells you a
212
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story as I'd learned back in the day when I was just doing consulting all the time.
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And I thought, what is going on?
214
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And that's when I started really getting into analyzing the billable hour and other
things, know, law firm culture, the leverage model.
215
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And again, that brought back lot of stuff that I'd learned as a consultant.
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In those days, the idea was to try and encourage people to exploit the billable model and
the leverage model as much as they possibly could to expand their profitability.
217
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And there's nothing wrong in that, you know, law firms be profitable to attract the best
talents and do great work and so forth.
218
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But
219
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It was clear to me that there was a structural impediment.
220
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So I spent a lot of time on that.
221
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And then in 2022, along comes chat GBT.
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And that really changed everything because for the first time people were saying, this is
the AI I've been waiting for.
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know, I mean, with the early machine learning stuff, I remember like people like sending
me messages going, yeah, this is all very cool, but this is not AI or if this is AI, it's
224
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really not what I imagined.
225
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You know, it's very, very narrow what it can do.
226
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You know, it's very niche.
227
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The irony is, is that most of that machine learning software did get absorbed.
228
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You go to like a hundred different companies, you it got absorbed into e-discovery.
229
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It got absorbed into legal research.
230
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It got absorbed into a dozen different verticals in the legal tech world.
231
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So, you know, AI did have an impact.
232
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It did get normalized, but it didn't change the world.
233
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It was like round one.
234
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It was like MySpace.
235
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Right.
236
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You know, it was my space of legal AI, you know, and although very few people exited for
200 million, although some people eventually did, of course, because they added a bit of
237
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gen AI on the end and did extremely well for themselves.
238
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But yeah, I don't want to get too much into individual companies.
239
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But and so that's kind of like brings us up to speed and generative AI changed everything
because and this is a funny thing as well, because there's like a whole bunch of people
240
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like, you know, from Richard Susskind.
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to other people who really pioneered away, like Noah Waysberg, Ned Gannon, Jim Wagner.
242
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I mean, there's a whole bunch of really pioneering people.
243
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There were the people who were actually building stuff.
244
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There were people who were constantly writing and being kind of like a cheerleader and
trying to do stuff.
245
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And then there was a whole body of people who were really, really like, yes, this is it,
this is it.
246
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But the tech just wasn't that.
247
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But this is the irony is that as soon as generative AI arrived, I found myself having
exactly the same discussions I had back in 2016.
248
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So will AI get him away of training lawyers?
249
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So if a junior lawyer's day job is done with AI, how are they going to learn anything?
250
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How they going learn how to review a contract if you use AI?
251
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Is it the end of lawyers?
252
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I mean, literally, I know already that seems like dated, but back in the end of 22,
beginning of 23, people were seriously debating that again.
253
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And it was so weird.
254
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It was like, it was almost as if we, was a complete deja vu.
255
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But the funny, was almost as well, it's kind of like, it's like the world had been
prepped.
256
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Have you, don't know if you've ever, you ever, have you ever read the Dune books or
watched the Dune movies?
257
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Oh, okay, well.
258
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All right, I won't go down, I won't go down that road.
259
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But basically the, there's this idea that the way is prepared.
260
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You're preparing the way.
261
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And that first and then when it really happens, it really happens because you prepared the
way.
262
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You've put in place the metaphysical concepts, you've put in place some of the
discussions, some of the books that analyze the big philosophical questions have already
263
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been written.
264
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So it's almost like when the thing actually hits for real, bang, it's like, ah, actually
we know what to do with this stuff.
265
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We know what it's gonna, we know the impact, we know how to handle it.
266
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And of course, you know,
267
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It has spread like wildfire.
268
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I mean, it's extraordinary.
269
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No, it is relative, right?
270
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It is all relative.
271
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And, you know, I think sometimes people think that I'm a bit negative, but I'm not.
272
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I'm a short-term pessimist, long-term optimist, right?
273
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I'm completely realistic about the challenges.
274
00:19:22,201 --> 00:19:24,922
I mean, I've been covering this sector now for what?
275
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Yeah, exactly.
276
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I'm not very good at maths.
277
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I did do A-level maths, but basic maths is not my forte.
278
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This, you know, we're just at the beginning.
279
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Even after all this time, we're just at the beginning.
280
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We are just at the beginning.
281
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So, you know, like you, you mentioned, you might want to talk about agents.
282
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Agents are a bit ropey.
283
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They're a bit flaky.
284
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They're not accurate enough.
285
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People keep saying that 2025 is going to be the year of the agents.
286
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It's going to be the year of people playing with agents.
287
00:19:57,396 --> 00:20:10,005
Well, one thing struck me on what you said, and that was how when you were covering law
firm strategy, the topic of technology would come up.
288
00:20:11,407 --> 00:20:14,929
it was, hey, let's talk about something more interesting.
289
00:20:15,030 --> 00:20:22,175
And historically, so I've been involved in the industry since 2008, tangentially even
earlier than that.
290
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technology historically has not been a strategic
291
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imperative for law firms.
292
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there's many reasons why, uh, they operate on a cash basis.
293
00:20:34,505 --> 00:20:39,907
there is, uh, there is a lot of lateral movement within law firms.
294
00:20:39,907 --> 00:20:52,110
You know, we, we call big law firms here, sometimes hotels for lawyers, because there
there's so much, it's so transient in nature and that makes capital projects difficult
295
00:20:52,110 --> 00:20:56,830
because, um, for, many reasons, especially because as
296
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the law firm leadership that rises through the ranks by seniority and oftentimes by being
the best at lawyering as opposed to who's necessarily the best leader.
297
00:21:06,933 --> 00:21:14,366
And the fact that law firm ownership is exclusively lawyers in the U S except for
298
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that's an interesting point you see.
299
00:21:18,946 --> 00:21:22,466
People thought that the Legal Services Act in the UK was going to change everything.
300
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It didn't change anything, hardly anything.
301
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It was a complete damp script.
302
00:21:28,546 --> 00:21:38,606
As I said in an article in artificial law the other day, it doesn't matter who owns a
group of law firm, lawyers in a particular sort of type of corporate entity, if they don't
303
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change how they work, nothing changes.
304
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And the fundamental...
305
00:21:42,882 --> 00:21:50,808
thing is, is that they did not change how they worked and they did not change how they
worked because they didn't see an incentive to do so.
306
00:21:51,129 --> 00:21:54,141
There was no, there was no burning platform and there was no incentive.
307
00:21:54,141 --> 00:21:57,674
There was no lily pad, but it was better and more golden to jump onto.
308
00:21:57,674 --> 00:22:00,357
And there was no burning platform either.
309
00:22:00,357 --> 00:22:03,489
And it's the thing is, that, law firms can do incredible things.
310
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It's like going back to like when I was in the midst of the globalization of the legal
market.
311
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I law firms, law firms, very, very conservative organizations on one level.
312
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When they want to move, man, they move.
313
00:22:14,960 --> 00:22:24,925
They, I mean, you know, these large English law firms and large US law firms just went
around the world like a supernova just went boom in about two years.
314
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They went from like being 500 lawyers to like, you know, 3000 lawyers with like from three
offices to like 25 offices.
315
00:22:33,410 --> 00:22:36,512
And that required a lot of investment as well.
316
00:22:36,512 --> 00:22:40,406
And they did that, they did that because there was a gigantic advantage.
317
00:22:40,406 --> 00:22:42,547
And there was also a gigantic threat, right?
318
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If they didn't globalize, they would lose their clients.
319
00:22:45,229 --> 00:22:48,610
And if they did globalize, they could charge way more.
320
00:22:48,711 --> 00:23:00,118
And also there would be far fewer of them because there's far fewer really top tier global
law firms, certainly back 20 years ago there was, than there were just good firms in
321
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various each local market.
322
00:23:02,039 --> 00:23:04,160
Now with legal tech, we're not there yet.
323
00:23:04,160 --> 00:23:07,882
Legal tech is still seen as decoration, right?
324
00:23:07,882 --> 00:23:23,456
It's like an Ikea catalog, you flick through it, you go, yeah, like one of those skublish
pillows and a flutu shelving unit and a you-do whatever, know, doofa, you know, made out
325
00:23:23,456 --> 00:23:24,927
of whatever.
326
00:23:25,647 --> 00:23:27,998
And it makes your life easier, makes your life nicer.
327
00:23:27,998 --> 00:23:30,809
As a lawyer, it's more comfortable, it's more pleasant.
328
00:23:30,809 --> 00:23:35,190
You shave away some of the inefficiency, but it never really gets into the billable work,
right?
329
00:23:35,190 --> 00:23:36,430
We're still...
330
00:23:36,430 --> 00:23:38,210
We're still in that stage.
331
00:23:38,210 --> 00:23:44,549
haven't, but this is the things I do honestly believe that the train has left the
platform, right?
332
00:23:44,549 --> 00:23:52,730
And that's why I wrote an article a few weeks ago, a couple of months ago, which some
people either loved or hated, but I think it's absolutely true, which is, know, it's the
333
00:23:52,730 --> 00:23:55,790
end of, you know, the legal world as we know it.
334
00:23:55,790 --> 00:24:04,450
And I feel fine because it is, because finally, finally, finally, finally, you know,
someone has lit the touch paper.
335
00:24:06,208 --> 00:24:08,961
the fundamental things that were needed, the right conditions.
336
00:24:08,961 --> 00:24:16,448
It's like revolutions, some famous revolution, not sure which one said it, that for a
revolution to start, you need the right conditions.
337
00:24:16,548 --> 00:24:18,358
You can't just have a bunch of revolutionaries.
338
00:24:18,358 --> 00:24:22,354
You can't have as many revolutionaries as you like running up and down the streets going,
we're a revolution.
339
00:24:22,354 --> 00:24:25,698
If you don't have the right conditions, nothing happens.
340
00:24:25,698 --> 00:24:28,770
You just get a of really annoying demonstrations.
341
00:24:28,770 --> 00:24:30,762
Nothing actually ever changes.
342
00:24:31,510 --> 00:24:32,920
And I think this is what's different.
343
00:24:32,920 --> 00:24:34,671
I think the conditions are there.
344
00:24:34,671 --> 00:24:37,232
Now, am I expecting rapid change?
345
00:24:37,232 --> 00:24:38,452
Absolutely not.
346
00:24:38,452 --> 00:24:40,753
mean, you know, once bitten twice shy.
347
00:24:40,753 --> 00:24:44,544
mean, my estimate, and I don't know where I got this from.
348
00:24:44,544 --> 00:24:47,135
It's kind of almost like an instinct, and I could be wrong.
349
00:24:47,195 --> 00:24:51,356
We'll get to where we need to be, at least at end of stage one in 2037.
350
00:24:51,356 --> 00:24:55,056
That's my guess, about a dozen years.
351
00:24:55,056 --> 00:24:55,898
Wow.
352
00:24:56,204 --> 00:24:58,275
Yeah, I don't think we'll get where we need.
353
00:24:58,275 --> 00:25:01,176
And when I say where we need to be, mean, real transformation.
354
00:25:01,176 --> 00:25:06,739
mean, in the same way that no one really uses landlines, we've all got mobile phones,
we've all got smartphones.
355
00:25:06,739 --> 00:25:12,900
The same way that people don't go to lending libraries anymore, we all use some form of
digital entry point.
356
00:25:13,042 --> 00:25:17,503
That's the kind of transformation I'm I'm talking real transformation of the legal market.
357
00:25:17,544 --> 00:25:22,786
It's going to take about a dozen years, but we're on the way.
358
00:25:23,187 --> 00:25:28,787
Yeah, well, and how far we are down that path is an interesting question.
359
00:25:28,887 --> 00:25:34,147
So I looked at the, I have it up here, the 2024 Iltta Technology Survey.
360
00:25:34,147 --> 00:25:43,867
And this question could have been asked better, but the question was, is your firm using
generative AI tools for business tasks?
361
00:25:43,867 --> 00:25:50,607
For law firms, 700 attorneys and above, the answer was yes for 74 % of the firms.
362
00:25:50,920 --> 00:25:59,354
Then on another screen here, have Thompson Reuters reports that says just 10 % of law
firms have a GEN.AI policy.
363
00:26:00,596 --> 00:26:08,429
Yeah, I don't think I mean, I don't most of these tables are all these surveys have
limited value.
364
00:26:08,429 --> 00:26:10,890
Some of them better up and others some are really good.
365
00:26:11,271 --> 00:26:20,134
but you know, and also they're out of date by the time they've been written in many cases,
you know, particularly when it comes to slight gene AI adoption.
366
00:26:20,134 --> 00:26:25,296
The reality is the vast majority of big law firms are using generative AI in some way.
367
00:26:25,296 --> 00:26:29,098
The reality though is that very few of them are actually using it.
368
00:26:29,098 --> 00:26:32,900
to alter how they're doing billable work or significant amounts of billable work.
369
00:26:32,900 --> 00:26:35,720
They're it up to the edges.
370
00:26:36,941 --> 00:26:39,622
One of the metaphors I use is the pizza.
371
00:26:39,622 --> 00:26:47,946
So imagine like a really, really chunky deep dish pizza with a beautiful cheesy crust,
well, a crust without any cheese on it around the edge, right?
372
00:26:47,946 --> 00:26:50,667
The crust is being eaten away by generative AI.
373
00:26:50,667 --> 00:26:53,028
There's no more crust on this pizza.
374
00:26:53,028 --> 00:26:56,919
You know how everyone eats pizzas in a different way?
375
00:26:56,919 --> 00:26:58,630
Some people cut them into like,
376
00:26:58,994 --> 00:27:10,239
sort of like completely irregular sort of like parallelograms and other people just cut me
into tiny slices and other people just fold them up and you know, it's kind of like that's
377
00:27:10,239 --> 00:27:20,644
kind of like where we are, but fundamentally the real center of the pizza where all the
good stuff is, that's not really being touched very much.
378
00:27:20,644 --> 00:27:22,544
It really isn't, you know.
379
00:27:23,265 --> 00:27:26,506
But that's the thing is once it is, I mean,
380
00:27:27,254 --> 00:27:29,116
Law firms are not that complicated, right?
381
00:27:29,116 --> 00:27:32,649
They're actually one of the simplest businesses on the planet.
382
00:27:32,649 --> 00:27:35,201
As corporate organisms go, they're incredibly simple.
383
00:27:35,201 --> 00:27:40,925
They're mostly corporate, sorry, they're mostly partnerships rather than corporates.
384
00:27:41,306 --> 00:27:42,607
They're individuals.
385
00:27:42,607 --> 00:27:53,756
You have a small group of owners, you have equity partners, have a pyramidal base of
leverage which goes down mostly via seniority, which is ranked to some degree on the
386
00:27:53,756 --> 00:27:55,758
complexity of the work that they can handle.
387
00:27:55,758 --> 00:27:57,418
and they get charged different amounts as well.
388
00:27:57,418 --> 00:27:59,978
It's a beautifully simplistic model, it's wonderful.
389
00:28:00,998 --> 00:28:05,138
To make as much money as possible, you just work as many hours as possible, that's all you
have to do.
390
00:28:05,138 --> 00:28:10,038
Even if you get big write-offs, it doesn't matter, as long as you're busy, everything's
cool, right?
391
00:28:10,038 --> 00:28:19,198
You're on the hour, the financial risk is someone else's, you have to pay for professional
indemnity insurance, but beyond that, as long as you don't mess up, everyone's happy,
392
00:28:19,198 --> 00:28:19,358
right?
393
00:28:19,358 --> 00:28:20,478
We're all happy.
394
00:28:21,038 --> 00:28:25,292
And the clients, despite everything they say every single year, are...
395
00:28:25,292 --> 00:28:28,363
generally allowing the law firms to do whatever they want.
396
00:28:28,363 --> 00:28:37,345
And I think fundamentally, the reason why they do that is because A, they have come out of
those law firms in the first place because that was their training ground.
397
00:28:37,345 --> 00:28:43,987
And secondly, because I think, and it's one of these things that people don't like to talk
about, it's another elephant in the room, it's like the billable hour, it's another
398
00:28:43,987 --> 00:28:54,830
elephant in the room, which is I think a lot of corporates enjoy, enjoy is not the right
word, but they actually, they feel comfortable spending a lot of money.
399
00:28:54,990 --> 00:29:02,070
on particular law firms in the same way that people want to go to certain ski resorts.
400
00:29:02,070 --> 00:29:04,570
Snow is snow, right?
401
00:29:04,570 --> 00:29:14,810
You don't have to go to some luxury eight-star resort in wherever, where they sprinkle
caviar on the piece for you.
402
00:29:15,230 --> 00:29:16,050
Snow is snow.
403
00:29:16,050 --> 00:29:17,710
You can just ski.
404
00:29:17,710 --> 00:29:21,342
But let's face it, we live in the real world.
405
00:29:21,342 --> 00:29:32,085
society itself is pyramidal stratification there's all kinds of weird um you could you
could argue illogical social behavior but then if you argue equally that one of the
406
00:29:32,085 --> 00:29:39,897
aspects of all pyramidal societies is you know sort of hierarchical control and hegemony
and all these kind of things we can get into some really sort of deep philosophical stuff
407
00:29:39,897 --> 00:29:48,844
if you like this is one of the problems is is that you you look at a basic law firm
business model and you just go this is completely irrational of course
408
00:29:48,844 --> 00:29:56,905
new technology will be absorbed, they will drop the billblower, they will move on to fix
fees, they will increase their profits, they will send out a message to the clients that
409
00:29:56,905 --> 00:29:58,118
this is the way to go.
410
00:29:58,118 --> 00:30:02,720
It's so obvious, it's so logical, but it doesn't happen.
411
00:30:02,920 --> 00:30:08,642
So I've spent literally years getting into it and it is fascinating, it is fascinating.
412
00:30:08,943 --> 00:30:16,686
I think one of the fundamental problems of the legal industry, the commercial legal
industry, is that the buyers are not the buyers.
413
00:30:17,174 --> 00:30:21,795
Right, the buyers for legal services, right, don't go anywhere near the law firms.
414
00:30:22,916 --> 00:30:29,978
Except the CEO of Goldman Sachs doesn't go wandering around law firms, and I'm sure he
tries not to, right.
415
00:30:29,978 --> 00:30:34,059
It's the lawyers inside Goldman Sachs who engage the law firms outside.
416
00:30:34,059 --> 00:30:41,311
And they all came from those law firms in the first place and probably have relations, and
they were probably intermarried and went to the same schools and play at the same tennis
417
00:30:41,311 --> 00:30:42,272
clubs and all this kind of stuff.
418
00:30:42,272 --> 00:30:44,372
And it's like a subtle stratification type thing.
419
00:30:44,792 --> 00:30:54,610
You know, that's an extreme example, that, you know, you might say that's, you know,
microcosm plays out across all the entire planet and all markets, even down to the
420
00:30:54,610 --> 00:30:57,632
smallest country town, you know.
421
00:30:58,314 --> 00:31:00,576
So it's, you've got that.
422
00:31:00,576 --> 00:31:08,442
And then of course you've got this point about, you know, the legal market effectively
places itself, controls itself.
423
00:31:08,442 --> 00:31:13,196
So, you know, the police force for the legal market, at least in many countries.
424
00:31:13,354 --> 00:31:26,145
is the bar, and the bar is run by lawyers and the effectively the, you you might say the
executive branch of this sort of like control organisation of courts, the judges within
425
00:31:26,145 --> 00:31:28,306
it, their lawyers obviously.
426
00:31:28,306 --> 00:31:32,249
So, you know, it's kind of like they've got all the angles covered.
427
00:31:32,370 --> 00:31:40,686
But this thing is like, and I think, you know, and I think a lot of people have argued
understandably for long time, but if we can get rid of that, then the whole legal market
428
00:31:40,686 --> 00:31:41,077
will change.
429
00:31:41,077 --> 00:31:43,094
But we did this in the UK years ago.
430
00:31:43,094 --> 00:31:44,815
It changed absolutely nothing.
431
00:31:44,915 --> 00:31:48,777
I mean, any, mean, I could, if I had enough money, I could buy a law firm, right?
432
00:31:48,777 --> 00:31:57,252
I could walk around the city of London with my checkbook and go, right, you know, I'm sure
the very large ones would tell me to bugger off, but maybe a very small one would say,
433
00:31:57,252 --> 00:31:57,812
okay, fair enough.
434
00:31:57,812 --> 00:31:59,723
If you've got enough money, yeah, you can have us.
435
00:31:59,723 --> 00:32:00,314
Right?
436
00:32:00,314 --> 00:32:02,534
I mean, like I could list them on the stock market.
437
00:32:02,534 --> 00:32:04,135
I mean, after that, could say, there's enough of that.
438
00:32:04,135 --> 00:32:06,326
I'll sell them to a private equity fund.
439
00:32:06,467 --> 00:32:13,073
It would make absolutely no difference at all to the legal market unless they changed how
they worked.
440
00:32:13,073 --> 00:32:13,923
Right.
441
00:32:14,224 --> 00:32:14,544
Yeah.
442
00:32:14,544 --> 00:32:18,286
Well, that's a chicken or the egg concept in my mind.
443
00:32:18,286 --> 00:32:31,394
think that, so we are, this transformation of ownership rules is underway here in the U S
and you've heard about the big four stepping in KPMG specifically.
444
00:32:31,394 --> 00:32:32,945
We've heard this before.
445
00:32:33,052 --> 00:32:34,572
I think it'll have no effect at all.
446
00:32:34,572 --> 00:32:37,408
I think it will have almost zero impact personally.
447
00:32:37,408 --> 00:32:39,550
so, and a lot of people agree with you.
448
00:32:39,550 --> 00:32:40,530
I'm on the other side.
449
00:32:40,530 --> 00:32:42,541
I'm on the other side of that this time.
450
00:32:42,541 --> 00:32:50,546
Um, I know we've seen there, you know, there's been this, um, industrialization of legal
services in the past, right?
451
00:32:50,546 --> 00:33:01,949
With ALSPs and then, you know, the big four consultants coming in previously, E and Y
standing up a fairly big, uh, organization around delivering legal work.
452
00:33:01,949 --> 00:33:14,840
The reason I think it's differently, different this time is just because there is a
mechanism where it's going to put pressure on the billable hour in a way where I think
453
00:33:14,840 --> 00:33:21,596
outsiders coming in with different skill sets and evaluating the problem domain within
legal.
454
00:33:21,596 --> 00:33:29,723
know, historically legal has been such a bespoke artisan industry, as you point out, and
now we're in a place where that is under pressure.
455
00:33:29,795 --> 00:33:41,218
And you're going, if this does, if this movement does get traction where, you know, again,
the big four will be the first entrance into the space, but public, uh, private equity
456
00:33:41,218 --> 00:33:43,139
could be not far behind.
457
00:33:43,139 --> 00:33:53,652
Um, there will be management structures and boards of directors in place that are no
longer lawyers that are going to re look at these problems differently and how to solve
458
00:33:53,652 --> 00:33:57,843
them and how to, how to build innovation, you know, innovation.
459
00:33:57,862 --> 00:34:00,153
Legal innovation is an oxymoron.
460
00:34:00,153 --> 00:34:03,635
It's like saying jumbo shrimp or military intelligence.
461
00:34:03,635 --> 00:34:07,176
There's very little innovation that happens in legal.
462
00:34:07,176 --> 00:34:08,417
And I say that with love.
463
00:34:08,417 --> 00:34:11,538
These are my customers, the legal innovation teams.
464
00:34:11,898 --> 00:34:21,996
And I'm not saying there's not innovative work happening, but the fundamental structural
elements of law firms hasn't changed at all.
465
00:34:21,996 --> 00:34:24,713
Well, that part I would definitely agree with,
466
00:34:24,721 --> 00:34:27,272
Yeah, well, and that's what innovation is.
467
00:34:27,452 --> 00:34:34,796
you know, Chief Innovation Officers are really mostly focused on improvement, not
innovation.
468
00:34:34,796 --> 00:34:37,717
They're incremental improvement officers.
469
00:34:37,997 --> 00:34:40,378
And it's not for a lack of skill.
470
00:34:40,378 --> 00:34:46,661
know highly skilled, innovative thinkers in these roles, and it's not for lack of trying.
471
00:34:46,661 --> 00:34:51,343
It's the culture, it's the industry, it's the ownership model.
472
00:34:51,604 --> 00:35:01,656
All of these things have been so well entrenched and you know, the pricing model, the
client engagement model, the internal firm compensation model, these things are so firmly
473
00:35:01,656 --> 00:35:09,978
entrenched and there has to be movement within those elements in order for, in order for
there to be real change.
474
00:35:09,978 --> 00:35:12,649
there's, there just hasn't been an appetite for that.
475
00:35:12,649 --> 00:35:21,457
So I'm, I'm, I'm, I'm less skeptical than you on this go round, but ultimately time will
tell.
476
00:35:21,457 --> 00:35:22,264
Right?
477
00:35:22,702 --> 00:35:24,122
Yeah, well, I hope you're right.
478
00:35:24,122 --> 00:35:25,442
hope you're right.
479
00:35:25,962 --> 00:35:35,422
The thing is, I mean, in a funny way, it's like, I'm actually more optimistic because I'm
like, my big picture view is like really, really transformative.
480
00:35:36,042 --> 00:35:41,202
I mean, it's kind of, I mean, for me, it's like an exponential curve.
481
00:35:41,202 --> 00:35:43,022
It's just like what's happening at the moment.
482
00:35:43,022 --> 00:35:46,482
We're really at the bottom of it and it looks so slow and so small.
483
00:35:46,522 --> 00:35:51,662
But when we really start to get up, you know, into the higher parts of that curve,
484
00:35:51,662 --> 00:35:53,082
It's really radical.
485
00:35:53,082 --> 00:35:56,802
But like I say, we're looking at a decade plus to get to that radical bit.
486
00:35:56,802 --> 00:36:00,322
I mean, this was simply doing the groundwork.
487
00:36:00,322 --> 00:36:02,202
We're preparing the way.
488
00:36:03,222 --> 00:36:06,792
The irony is that there were people even before 2015.
489
00:36:06,792 --> 00:36:12,982
I mean, think, know, because eBrevier can trace its roots back to I think about 2012 or
something.
490
00:36:13,322 --> 00:36:21,422
I mean, there are people who've been working in this field using these ideas and coming up
against these problems, which we're knocking around.
491
00:36:21,902 --> 00:36:29,602
for like 20 years, well, 20 years, 13 years.
492
00:36:30,802 --> 00:36:32,282
But we will get there.
493
00:36:32,282 --> 00:36:33,922
I mean, think this is the thing, it?
494
00:36:33,922 --> 00:36:37,942
I mean, the age thing is a really interesting one, isn't it?
495
00:36:38,722 --> 00:36:46,402
Because if you were 20 and you were at a law firm and someone told you, like in 12 years,
the industry really is going to change.
496
00:36:46,402 --> 00:36:49,962
I know we all keep talking about whether that change will change, but it really will
change.
497
00:36:50,190 --> 00:36:56,170
You'd like, well, if I start this law firm and I become a partner, I'll probably just be
really getting into high gear.
498
00:36:56,170 --> 00:36:58,890
I'll just be really, really motoring at that point.
499
00:36:58,890 --> 00:37:01,710
And I'll be perhaps even an owner if I'm lucky.
500
00:37:01,710 --> 00:37:03,970
It might be an equity partner if I was really lucky.
501
00:37:04,390 --> 00:37:06,450
And wow, yeah.
502
00:37:06,450 --> 00:37:10,350
So it's going to be very, very, very interesting for that generation.
503
00:37:10,450 --> 00:37:16,524
Whereas if you're an equity partner now and you're like 45 heading towards 50, you know.
504
00:37:16,524 --> 00:37:17,765
These are smart people, right?
505
00:37:17,765 --> 00:37:29,975
They can see how much change has been so far and they'll just like, yeah, I'm going to see
out the rest of my career and into retirement before anything really, really looks like a
506
00:37:29,975 --> 00:37:31,176
burning platform.
507
00:37:31,495 --> 00:37:31,975
Yeah.
508
00:37:31,975 --> 00:37:35,878
And you know, the, what's interesting is I did a little research on the billable hour.
509
00:37:35,878 --> 00:37:40,542
Um, so it's really only firmly been entrenched for about 50 years.
510
00:37:40,542 --> 00:37:42,142
It was, it was formed.
511
00:37:42,142 --> 00:37:51,782
And it was Hale and Doar, it's funny that you sent me that because I actually found that
out myself, I was doing some research and I actually contacted Hale and Doar twice to see
512
00:37:51,782 --> 00:37:54,662
if they wanted to talk about it and they never replied to me.
513
00:37:54,662 --> 00:38:01,362
So I don't know if you've got any good buddies at Hale and Doar, if they would like to
talk about the birth of the Bill of the Hour.
514
00:38:01,362 --> 00:38:07,330
But originally we started as an access to justice move because I thought that...
515
00:38:07,330 --> 00:38:10,152
by having clarity over what something costs.
516
00:38:10,152 --> 00:38:12,534
Because obviously in the old days, people would literally just look at you.
517
00:38:12,534 --> 00:38:16,987
They'd look at your shoes, look at your pocket watch and go, where do you live?
518
00:38:16,987 --> 00:38:18,508
Hmm, okay, right.
519
00:38:18,508 --> 00:38:20,130
So it's gonna be this much.
520
00:38:20,130 --> 00:38:23,722
And they would literally charge, it would just be like, what's this guy worth?
521
00:38:23,722 --> 00:38:24,492
Right?
522
00:38:24,492 --> 00:38:26,743
And would just charge whatever they felt.
523
00:38:27,504 --> 00:38:31,487
And then the idea was is that the billable hour would give transparency.
524
00:38:31,487 --> 00:38:36,142
So people who didn't have as much wealth would get a fair shake of the stick.
525
00:38:36,142 --> 00:38:38,403
And then of course, that was generally ignored.
526
00:38:38,404 --> 00:38:46,541
then with economic growth, and I think particularly the end of 70s and certainly with the
80s, there's this explosion of economic growth across the West, globalization,
527
00:38:46,541 --> 00:38:55,517
computerization, massive rising productivity, know, that kind of Reagan era, know,
Thatcher era, globalization of capitalism, global capitalism in general.
528
00:38:56,639 --> 00:39:00,832
It created this huge surge of work for commercial lawyers.
529
00:39:01,454 --> 00:39:04,014
And there's a big expansion of in-house legal teams.
530
00:39:04,014 --> 00:39:09,054
was a real change, a real sea change in global capitalism, really, really altered.
531
00:39:09,954 --> 00:39:15,354
And people started to realize that leverage wasn't just question of having bodies to do
the work.
532
00:39:15,354 --> 00:39:21,614
That if you were clever about how you managed it, partner profits could gigantically
increase.
533
00:39:22,114 --> 00:39:26,094
mean, that's one of the things, if you go back, if you go back like 40 years, you look at
what partners made.
534
00:39:26,094 --> 00:39:29,506
mean, they were wealthy compared to the average person in America or Britain.
535
00:39:29,506 --> 00:39:33,248
But compared to now, they were making a fraction of what they make now.
536
00:39:33,248 --> 00:39:40,152
mean, now, like, and this is very, very much due to leverage in the middle of the hour.
537
00:39:40,752 --> 00:39:52,379
You could not, mean, with that, then this is the thing I keep trying to try to introduce
into the into the discussion is that you can actually make more money as an owner using
538
00:39:52,379 --> 00:39:55,200
technology and fixed fees.
539
00:39:56,541 --> 00:39:58,458
people, people just don't want to go down that road.
540
00:39:58,458 --> 00:40:01,680
well, and what people, I don't think it's all law firms.
541
00:40:01,680 --> 00:40:08,645
think the buyers of legal services are also most comfortable with this model that's been
firmly entrenched for 50 years.
542
00:40:08,645 --> 00:40:14,629
If you talk to inside teams, inside legal teams, you know, they kind of want the best of
both worlds.
543
00:40:14,629 --> 00:40:19,072
They, uh, kind of a not to exceeds model where, Hey, I pay you.
544
00:40:19,072 --> 00:40:24,275
I don't know that there's enough trust in between law firm and
545
00:40:24,525 --> 00:40:36,500
and legal buyer for legal buyer to feel comfortable that whatever that price is set is
going to ultimately be fair.
546
00:40:36,500 --> 00:40:42,702
And I think it's just been a factor of buyer side hesitation.
547
00:40:42,923 --> 00:40:47,425
And on the law firm side, a lot of law firms have been flying blind.
548
00:40:47,425 --> 00:40:53,467
Their data has historically sucked around this and the ability to
549
00:40:53,502 --> 00:40:54,743
build pricing models.
550
00:40:54,743 --> 00:40:55,384
It's gotten better.
551
00:40:55,384 --> 00:41:04,121
And I'd say the last five years, like pre-COVID, I started to see like real data work,
data rationalization work happening within law firms.
552
00:41:04,121 --> 00:41:06,534
And it's accelerated since then.
553
00:41:06,534 --> 00:41:07,755
definitely.
554
00:41:07,755 --> 00:41:10,836
If you look at all the billing software out there now, it's so advanced.
555
00:41:10,836 --> 00:41:17,859
mean, you know, and then you've got people like organizations like Sally, which are really
helping develop taxonomies and so forth.
556
00:41:17,994 --> 00:41:20,700
I mean, there's no excuses now for the large firms.
557
00:41:20,700 --> 00:41:21,390
have the data.
558
00:41:21,390 --> 00:41:22,210
have the data.
559
00:41:22,210 --> 00:41:24,802
The funny thing is the write-offs are gigantic.
560
00:41:25,562 --> 00:41:31,385
you know, I won't mention any names, but I can think of a firm that is literally writing
off hundreds of millions a year.
561
00:41:31,385 --> 00:41:34,956
mean, literally hundreds of millions of dollars.
562
00:41:35,438 --> 00:41:37,098
total write-offs, right?
563
00:41:37,098 --> 00:41:40,318
Now that means that the whole, it becomes really bizarre.
564
00:41:40,318 --> 00:41:44,278
Like I was talking to someone once and I was thinking like, you know, where's the value?
565
00:41:44,278 --> 00:41:47,378
And they were saying, well, the value is in the senior partners, the experience.
566
00:41:47,378 --> 00:41:48,818
I said, okay, so that's what the client is paying.
567
00:41:48,818 --> 00:41:52,098
So let's say you do a deal, let's say it's a relatively small deal.
568
00:41:52,098 --> 00:41:53,598
It's a million dollars, right?
569
00:41:53,598 --> 00:41:54,878
Big law deal, right?
570
00:41:54,878 --> 00:41:56,458
M &A deal, million dollars.
571
00:41:56,458 --> 00:41:57,938
And I said, well, so where's the value then?
572
00:41:57,938 --> 00:42:04,750
I said, well, know, the vast majority of that is the expertise of the firm, the
historical, you know, IP of these.
573
00:42:04,750 --> 00:42:10,030
individuals, you know, their skills, their experience, they've been through a hundred
major deals, they've seen everything.
574
00:42:10,030 --> 00:42:11,230
And I said, okay, brilliant.
575
00:42:11,230 --> 00:42:11,870
That's perfect.
576
00:42:11,870 --> 00:42:12,570
Wonderful.
577
00:42:12,570 --> 00:42:21,070
So why is it that 85 % of the bill is non equity partner and below leverage billing?
578
00:42:21,490 --> 00:42:32,850
So effectively you're getting people to do a ton of what you might call manual labor to
pad out a bill, which is then sent to the client who then knocks off a third and says,
579
00:42:32,850 --> 00:42:34,242
because, I can.
580
00:42:34,242 --> 00:42:37,443
they've just put up their rates by a third over the last couple of years anyway.
581
00:42:37,443 --> 00:42:40,504
So it's an absolute muddle.
582
00:42:41,165 --> 00:42:46,767
The idea of the billable hour is that it gives some kind of empirical clarity to what's
going on.
583
00:42:46,767 --> 00:42:51,379
It's actually the whole thing really, it's an illusion.
584
00:42:51,379 --> 00:42:56,191
The idea that there's any logic in any of it doesn't make any sense, right?
585
00:42:56,191 --> 00:43:02,684
So you've got a junior lawyer who has no technology other than word and email.
586
00:43:03,342 --> 00:43:06,582
plodding their way through a due diligence exercise, right?
587
00:43:06,582 --> 00:43:11,782
And the lawyer next to them is using the best AI of all automation and all kinds of stuff.
588
00:43:11,802 --> 00:43:17,562
And they've got a fantastic understanding of data and metadata and they're absolutely on
it, right?
589
00:43:17,942 --> 00:43:23,122
They're zipping through the documents like, you know, one every five minutes and a really
high accuracy, right?
590
00:43:23,122 --> 00:43:29,962
Probably accuracy at the same level as you have a junior lawyer, because, you know, the
accuracy to some degree is based on their own ability to spot errors and that's based on
591
00:43:29,962 --> 00:43:31,122
experience, right?
592
00:43:31,122 --> 00:43:32,750
So like one guy,
593
00:43:32,750 --> 00:43:36,990
He's doing a document every five minutes and everyone's doing a document every hour.
594
00:43:37,490 --> 00:43:38,250
Right.
595
00:43:38,250 --> 00:43:42,170
Now, if we were not in the legal world, we were in a completely different industry.
596
00:43:42,170 --> 00:43:45,610
And I said to you, which of these is the more profitable?
597
00:43:45,610 --> 00:43:48,630
You'd be like, well, obviously the guy who's going at five minutes, this guy's a genius.
598
00:43:48,630 --> 00:43:53,390
mean, you know, want loads of these and like, wrong.
599
00:43:53,890 --> 00:43:56,650
You know, this guy is a liability.
600
00:43:56,650 --> 00:43:59,010
Get rid of him, for God's sake.
601
00:43:59,840 --> 00:44:00,813
It's madness.
602
00:44:00,813 --> 00:44:01,464
It's madness.
603
00:44:01,464 --> 00:44:04,465
The only person who sees this, it's completely insane.
604
00:44:04,465 --> 00:44:04,816
Yeah.
605
00:44:04,816 --> 00:44:07,738
I mean, the billable hour does reward inefficiency.
606
00:44:07,738 --> 00:44:09,542
And I think that's.
607
00:44:09,642 --> 00:44:12,262
don't think they're doing it deliberately so much.
608
00:44:13,302 --> 00:44:18,151
I think for me it prevents efficiency.
609
00:44:18,151 --> 00:44:20,212
Yeah, right.
610
00:44:20,573 --> 00:44:22,094
And that's, that's very true.
611
00:44:22,094 --> 00:44:30,912
Talking about the tools for a minute, cause I had a visual in my mind when, when you laid
out that metaphor and I'm going to use Harvey as an example, but the question isn't about
612
00:44:30,912 --> 00:44:31,373
Harvey.
613
00:44:31,373 --> 00:44:34,706
It's just, they're kind of a first mover in the space.
614
00:44:34,706 --> 00:44:37,288
Um, you talked about my space.
615
00:44:37,288 --> 00:44:39,891
First movers aren't always the long-term winners.
616
00:44:39,891 --> 00:44:45,448
I mean, look in the software world, you know, um, Netscape Navigator, um,
617
00:44:45,448 --> 00:44:49,830
You know, Lotus one, two, three, Harvard graphics, Dbase.
618
00:44:50,211 --> 00:44:52,492
there's a million examples, MySpace.
619
00:44:52,492 --> 00:44:56,044
The first mover usually isn't the long-term winner.
620
00:44:56,044 --> 00:45:06,340
And what I'm, what I'm thinking about when I see these valuations in this massive tidal
wave of investment that's making its way into legal tech now, which I think is a good
621
00:45:06,340 --> 00:45:12,593
thing overall, but are these kind of early platforms going to be the long-term winners?
622
00:45:12,593 --> 00:45:23,828
Because if you look at the amount being invested and what needs to happen in order to hit
evaluation that the investors are going to walk away happy about, they kind of have to be.
623
00:45:24,709 --> 00:45:28,162
What are your thoughts on that dynamic?
624
00:45:28,162 --> 00:45:34,745
want to get into any particular company because it's kind of unfair to do something that's
going to be aired publicly.
625
00:45:34,745 --> 00:45:47,650
I mean, I mean, just generally, if you look at startup revenues, right, they're relatively
small in the legal tech world and they stay small, they grow relatively slowly.
626
00:45:49,972 --> 00:45:56,094
Some companies that were given a lot of money very quickly ended up in trouble and got
bought.
627
00:45:56,334 --> 00:46:01,434
And the founders exited quite nicely, but you know, walked away with a good amount of
money.
628
00:46:01,634 --> 00:46:13,114
But the classic, you might say, cliche, the Palo Alto cliche of, you know, a couple of
people in a garage, if they create a company, money just starts getting sucked towards
629
00:46:13,114 --> 00:46:15,414
them, you know, like a black hole.
630
00:46:15,734 --> 00:46:19,334
They grow like crazy, bang, know, IPO, whatever, in about three or four years.
631
00:46:19,334 --> 00:46:21,854
I mean, that is just so unlike legal tech.
632
00:46:21,854 --> 00:46:25,614
The vast majority of legal tech companies grow from, you know,
633
00:46:25,614 --> 00:46:29,394
their seed very slowly, really slowly.
634
00:46:29,394 --> 00:46:34,854
mean, you know, mean, I companies, good companies doing good work, making decent revenue.
635
00:46:35,274 --> 00:46:38,114
Many, many of them are way below $10 million.
636
00:46:38,754 --> 00:46:39,414
Right?
637
00:46:39,414 --> 00:46:42,114
that's not names that you will have heard of, right?
638
00:46:42,114 --> 00:46:47,594
I mean, there are, are, you know, there are household names, at least in the legal tech
world.
639
00:46:47,594 --> 00:46:50,154
You know, if I said X names here, you'd be like, yeah, yeah, yeah, of course.
640
00:46:50,154 --> 00:46:52,034
Really successful, great work.
641
00:46:52,034 --> 00:46:53,990
Brilliant, brilliant, You know.
642
00:46:54,074 --> 00:47:00,057
And you realize that they've been going for like eight years and their revenue is about 20
million.
643
00:47:00,057 --> 00:47:10,913
And when you look at their properties and you look at their marketing spend and you look
at their staff costs and then you look at the fact that actually because they're super,
644
00:47:10,913 --> 00:47:20,388
super, you know, leveraged up with investment and maybe some debt as well now, they're
actually not, if you actually look at the balance sheet for real, A, the revenue is
645
00:47:20,388 --> 00:47:23,714
relatively small for a company that's meant to be in the tech sector.
646
00:47:23,714 --> 00:47:26,055
that's been going for eight years, right?
647
00:47:26,495 --> 00:47:34,099
And secondly, if you actually look, if you drill down into the real numbers, that balance
sheet is pretty weak, right?
648
00:47:34,099 --> 00:47:38,921
But then they get bought by a much, much larger company who then, you know, does what they
do.
649
00:47:38,921 --> 00:47:45,884
that is actually more sort of slow, relatively slow growth is actually more than normal.
650
00:47:45,884 --> 00:47:50,846
So this idea you get like a hundred million or more and you grow like wildfire.
651
00:47:51,490 --> 00:47:54,002
That's almost unheard of in the legal tech world.
652
00:47:54,002 --> 00:47:55,295
It's really rare.
653
00:47:55,410 --> 00:47:56,300
It really is.
654
00:47:56,300 --> 00:48:07,563
And you know, the legal tech world is also, I have a blog post half written, maybe not
even half, but it's called legal tech is small town USA.
655
00:48:07,743 --> 00:48:12,784
And I use a metaphor of, know, the legal tech community is very tight knit.
656
00:48:12,784 --> 00:48:15,165
Um, I've been in it for 16 years.
657
00:48:15,165 --> 00:48:17,856
It took me five years before anybody took me seriously.
658
00:48:17,856 --> 00:48:21,527
Um, I don't, some, some may not still take me seriously.
659
00:48:21,527 --> 00:48:23,547
I don't know, but it took a while.
660
00:48:23,547 --> 00:48:27,900
And it took a lot of relationship building and everybody knows each other.
661
00:48:28,911 --> 00:48:40,831
and for someone to come in from the outside and grow and really, you know, uh, several of
the, I'm not talking about anybody in particular here, but several of these legal tech AI
662
00:48:40,831 --> 00:48:48,677
startups have, have kind of grown so fast, so quick, at least in terms of balance sheet
capital deployed.
663
00:48:48,680 --> 00:48:56,193
They haven't really had a chance to build these relationships and there's been a little
bit of skepticism, I think from the legal tech community about, is this, is this going to
664
00:48:56,193 --> 00:48:57,795
be a long-term winner here?
665
00:48:57,795 --> 00:49:01,026
Is there what's what's the deal with their tech?
666
00:49:01,026 --> 00:49:12,246
I think the ones from what I've seen, the ones that are planning or effectively, you know,
as you alluded to, like needing really, really massive revenue growth are looking at
667
00:49:12,246 --> 00:49:12,906
things differently.
668
00:49:12,906 --> 00:49:21,966
mean, a lot of the household names in the legal tech world, aside from people like Cleo
and other ones like that, generally have focused on big law, right?
669
00:49:23,246 --> 00:49:29,038
You know, you can make a pretty good living serving 40 or 50 very large law firms.
670
00:49:29,038 --> 00:49:31,618
Right, you've got a couple of thousand lawyers each.
671
00:49:32,218 --> 00:49:39,458
You're selling your licenses, I don't know, let's say the bottom is $20,000 and it goes up
to whatever, right?
672
00:49:39,458 --> 00:49:41,138
You've got 40 or 50 of those.
673
00:49:41,138 --> 00:49:43,158
That's a nice living, right?
674
00:49:43,438 --> 00:49:46,458
But you're never gonna get into the hundreds of millions of revenue just doing that.
675
00:49:46,458 --> 00:49:50,178
You've really got to open, you've got to open the market right up.
676
00:49:50,418 --> 00:49:52,078
So you've got to do small law.
677
00:49:52,078 --> 00:49:54,298
You've got to get into every small law firm.
678
00:49:54,298 --> 00:49:55,738
You've got to get into mid-sized law firms.
679
00:49:55,738 --> 00:49:57,110
You've got to go in-house.
680
00:49:57,110 --> 00:49:59,721
You've got to get into government even perhaps.
681
00:49:59,721 --> 00:50:01,492
You've got to get into everything.
682
00:50:01,492 --> 00:50:04,014
You've got to be like Thomson Reuters or Lexis, right?
683
00:50:04,014 --> 00:50:10,998
You've got to be indispensable to literally hundreds of thousands of lawyers and different
organizations.
684
00:50:10,998 --> 00:50:11,678
And they can do that.
685
00:50:11,678 --> 00:50:15,130
Most companies can do that, of course, because they were very smart, very early on.
686
00:50:15,130 --> 00:50:20,863
And I don't know if they did it because they knew what was going to happen or they were
just very lucky that they got the data.
687
00:50:20,863 --> 00:50:24,407
They built those legal databases, great legal databases.
688
00:50:24,407 --> 00:50:26,516
I all the tech cameras layered on top.
689
00:50:26,604 --> 00:50:26,784
Right.
690
00:50:26,784 --> 00:50:29,255
But that put me in a fantastic position, right.
691
00:50:29,255 --> 00:50:34,178
The scaling because every lawyer who can afford it would like to get their hands on that
data.
692
00:50:34,178 --> 00:50:34,998
Right.
693
00:50:35,899 --> 00:50:37,240
Like the licensing.
694
00:50:37,240 --> 00:50:41,202
mean, I don't know how many customers Thompson Reuters has on its legal side.
695
00:50:41,562 --> 00:50:47,806
You know, in total, if you add every single individual, yeah, every single individual, it
must be gigantic.
696
00:50:47,806 --> 00:50:48,266
Right.
697
00:50:48,266 --> 00:50:49,247
So they can do that.
698
00:50:49,247 --> 00:50:50,487
They can do that.
699
00:50:50,928 --> 00:50:55,500
How many other companies are going to gain that kind of leverage?
700
00:50:56,150 --> 00:50:57,154
across the
701
00:50:57,248 --> 00:50:58,168
right.
702
00:50:59,269 --> 00:51:11,240
It's very hard and it takes time and it's not a, you know, the VC model is eight to 10
years on the long side of, you know, right?
703
00:51:11,240 --> 00:51:13,422
Yeah, it's, it's been pushing longer.
704
00:51:13,422 --> 00:51:23,921
It used to be even shorter, but you know, VC investors, these limited partners expect to
return, um, a significant return cause it's a high risk and, uh, you know, high risk
705
00:51:23,921 --> 00:51:24,861
investment.
706
00:51:24,861 --> 00:51:33,233
fairly quickly and I'm looking at these companies and wondering how the TAM and legal is
small, total addressable market.
707
00:51:33,233 --> 00:51:43,934
But I know you said, but this is the thing someone says to as I was in Palo Alto a couple
of years ago off the back of the our Legal Innovators Conference in San Francisco.
708
00:51:44,214 --> 00:51:51,114
And someone I was talking about, you know, joking, I said, yeah, hey, I should should
create my own legal tech company, you know, spent years in this field.
709
00:51:51,714 --> 00:51:55,774
And they said, yeah, but you'd you'd never make it through the VC round.
710
00:51:55,774 --> 00:51:57,054
And said, well, how do you mean?
711
00:51:57,054 --> 00:52:01,670
Because you like to tell things as they are, at least how you think they are.
712
00:52:01,678 --> 00:52:03,878
And that's not what a lot of VCs want.
713
00:52:03,878 --> 00:52:12,938
VCs want you to paint them a picture, tell them a story, because they're not going to be
around to pick up the end of that story.
714
00:52:12,938 --> 00:52:19,198
They're going to drop off about halfway through, and someone else is going to pick it up,
a private equity fund or a much larger corporate or whoever.
715
00:52:19,198 --> 00:52:20,678
It's going to be a trade buy.
716
00:52:21,378 --> 00:52:24,238
And so that's one of the challenges, isn't it?
717
00:52:24,598 --> 00:52:28,878
You throw 100 million or 50 million or 20 million in a company.
718
00:52:28,878 --> 00:52:31,478
It does grow temporarily quite rapidly.
719
00:52:31,478 --> 00:52:32,238
It looks good.
720
00:52:32,238 --> 00:52:36,538
You the hockey stick started to form and you say, right guys, I'm out of here.
721
00:52:37,158 --> 00:52:39,858
right now it's your problem.
722
00:52:40,318 --> 00:52:41,238
You deal with it.
723
00:52:41,238 --> 00:52:43,158
You grow this thing like crazy.
724
00:52:43,958 --> 00:52:48,318
You know, I mean, how many companies have been bought and then written off?
725
00:52:50,104 --> 00:52:53,017
so many, so many.
726
00:52:53,017 --> 00:52:54,188
Yeah.
727
00:52:54,188 --> 00:53:03,737
Even in my little niche, know, Thompson Reuters, so we are internet extranet platform and
there was a platform called XM Law.
728
00:53:03,737 --> 00:53:06,119
Good buddy of mine, Rob Cicconi founded it.
729
00:53:06,119 --> 00:53:09,022
Thompson Reuters bought it and basically killed it.
730
00:53:09,022 --> 00:53:10,413
They did nothing with it.
731
00:53:10,555 --> 00:53:12,517
So it's, pretty common.
732
00:53:12,517 --> 00:53:14,029
Well, I know we're running out of time here.
733
00:53:14,029 --> 00:53:23,359
I want to make sure that I give you a minute or so to just tell people how to get in touch
or learn more about the content.
734
00:53:23,359 --> 00:53:25,251
Your content is fantastic.
735
00:53:25,251 --> 00:53:27,013
It's been an honor to have you on the show.
736
00:53:27,013 --> 00:53:33,399
I could talk for hours, but, um, tell people how, how they might find out more about your
work.
737
00:53:33,782 --> 00:53:34,943
Yeah, it's easy.
738
00:53:34,943 --> 00:53:42,670
Just go, just type in artificial lawyer into Google or your search engine of choice and
take it from there.
739
00:53:42,670 --> 00:53:53,198
And if you, if you're kind of person that likes in-person events, we also do the Legal
Innovators conferences, Legal Innovators UK in London in November.
740
00:53:53,198 --> 00:53:58,162
And we're doing the next big event will be in California in San Francisco, June.
741
00:53:58,310 --> 00:54:02,971
11th 12th in central San Francisco, which should be a lot of fun over two days.
742
00:54:02,971 --> 00:54:06,872
And it'll be our fourth event in the city.
743
00:54:07,653 --> 00:54:10,473
But generally, yeah, just type in artificial lawyer.
744
00:54:10,473 --> 00:54:13,754
I'm on LinkedIn every day, multiple times.
745
00:54:13,754 --> 00:54:15,705
I generally use my own personal account.
746
00:54:15,705 --> 00:54:22,417
So Richard Trowans, T-R-O-M-E-N-S, that's probably the easiest way to find me.
747
00:54:23,657 --> 00:54:27,399
yeah, thank you for listening and thank you for having me on the show.
748
00:54:27,399 --> 00:54:29,143
Yeah, it's been a pleasure.
749
00:54:29,143 --> 00:54:31,729
We didn't get to a lot of the stuff we were going to talk about.
750
00:54:31,729 --> 00:54:34,516
We had a great conversation and that's the goal.
751
00:54:34,516 --> 00:54:37,813
So maybe we can revisit at some point and do it.
752
00:54:37,813 --> 00:54:39,643
be honored to come back, thank you.
753
00:54:39,643 --> 00:54:40,124
Awesome.
754
00:54:40,124 --> 00:54:41,066
Well, great.
755
00:54:41,066 --> 00:54:46,534
I really appreciate your time and we'll maybe I'll see you at Legal Innovators.
756
00:54:46,534 --> 00:54:52,238
I'm going to make a note to take a look at that San Francisco conference and see if we can
put that on the calendar.
757
00:54:52,238 --> 00:54:53,358
Yeah, that would be awesome.
758
00:54:53,358 --> 00:54:54,163
That would be great.
759
00:54:54,163 --> 00:54:54,983
Good stuff.
760
00:54:54,983 --> 00:54:55,203
All right.
761
00:54:55,203 --> 00:54:57,243
Have a good rest of your afternoon.
762
00:54:57,523 --> 00:54:58,263
All right.
763
00:54:58,263 --> 00:54:59,245
Thanks a lot.
00:00:03,957
Richard, good to see you this afternoon.
2
00:00:03,957 --> 00:00:04,942
How are you?
3
00:00:05,282 --> 00:00:07,100
Hi Ted, thanks for having me on the show.
4
00:00:07,100 --> 00:00:08,393
I'm pretty good actually.
5
00:00:08,563 --> 00:00:09,474
Good, good.
6
00:00:09,474 --> 00:00:12,610
Other than, um, fighting some cold weather there.
7
00:00:12,610 --> 00:00:13,858
Are you in London?
8
00:00:13,858 --> 00:00:16,233
Yeah, I'm in London, yeah, North London, yeah.
9
00:00:16,605 --> 00:00:25,689
think the whole world must be in a cold snap right now because all over the United States,
it's freezing cold and it sounds like it is over in the UK as well.
10
00:00:26,092 --> 00:00:26,442
Yeah.
11
00:00:26,442 --> 00:00:32,085
Oh, not as bad as some of the East Coast cities, but it's, you know, it's, pretty bad over
in London.
12
00:00:32,085 --> 00:00:32,169
Yeah.
13
00:00:32,169 --> 00:00:33,049
That's true.
14
00:00:33,598 --> 00:00:34,228
Well, good stuff.
15
00:00:34,228 --> 00:00:35,339
I appreciate you joining.
16
00:00:35,339 --> 00:00:36,870
Yeah.
17
00:00:37,131 --> 00:00:43,996
I think many of our listeners probably know who you are based on your work at artificial
lawyer.
18
00:00:44,076 --> 00:00:50,451
And, but for those that don't just want to do, give you a chance to do a quick
introduction.
19
00:00:50,451 --> 00:00:52,073
Yeah.
20
00:00:52,073 --> 00:00:56,546
I was interested to see that you were, you were an editor at ALM.
21
00:00:56,546 --> 00:01:03,271
had a short stint at Thompson Reuters and you founded artificial lawyer in
22
00:01:03,355 --> 00:01:08,981
2016, which was quite a bit before chat GPT lit the world on fire.
23
00:01:08,981 --> 00:01:15,757
Um, but yeah, why don't you tell us a little bit about, uh, who you are, what you do and
where you do it.
24
00:01:16,046 --> 00:01:17,006
Yeah, no, sure.
25
00:01:17,006 --> 00:01:22,226
So I started in the legal world in 1999, so 25, 26 years.
26
00:01:22,226 --> 00:01:23,846
Oh my God, that's a long time.
27
00:01:24,806 --> 00:01:35,486
I joined what was effectively a startup in 1999 called Legal Week, which was a legal
magazine focused on big commercial law firms.
28
00:01:35,486 --> 00:01:37,066
And I joined as an international reporter.
29
00:01:37,066 --> 00:01:44,966
At that point, it was an independent business created by a couple of people who had left a
more established magazine called The Lawyer.
30
00:01:45,454 --> 00:01:56,874
in the UK and I was as far as I understand either one of the first international reporters
or the first international reporter for the commercial legal market.
31
00:01:56,874 --> 00:01:58,654
That is the only thing I did.
32
00:01:58,654 --> 00:02:09,394
I only covered international mergers, international expansion, office openings, joint
ventures in Singapore, US and UK law firms merging, UK law firms opening an office in
33
00:02:09,394 --> 00:02:09,934
Amsterdam.
34
00:02:09,934 --> 00:02:11,354
That was what I did.
35
00:02:12,300 --> 00:02:15,832
So I got into, so I went straight into strategy.
36
00:02:15,832 --> 00:02:27,177
So like within, you know, couple of months of getting up to speed with how big law firms
worked, I was right into strategy and the business of law because the first question you
37
00:02:27,177 --> 00:02:31,719
ask anybody as a journalist, you know, why are you doing this?
38
00:02:32,099 --> 00:02:35,461
You know, why have you just merged across the Atlantic?
39
00:02:35,461 --> 00:02:37,142
Why have you just opened in Singapore?
40
00:02:37,142 --> 00:02:38,414
And then they start telling you stuff.
41
00:02:38,414 --> 00:02:40,475
And course you've got to try and figure it out and understand it.
42
00:02:40,475 --> 00:02:51,681
So I very, very, very quickly got introduced into the world of strategy and business,
which is kind of like not what I expected when I trained as a journalist.
43
00:02:51,681 --> 00:02:59,746
I kind of thought, you know, I'll be working at the Guardian or something like that, you
And so I ended up completely without any planning.
44
00:02:59,746 --> 00:03:02,077
didn't choose to work at Legal Week.
45
00:03:02,077 --> 00:03:08,030
just, a friend had a job there and I was looking for a job and...
46
00:03:08,075 --> 00:03:12,087
The general rule as a junior journalist is just get the first job you can and get going.
47
00:03:12,087 --> 00:03:15,205
You know, don't sit around, just get going, get cracking.
48
00:03:15,205 --> 00:03:20,190
I mean, it just took off because the legal market then was very exciting.
49
00:03:20,551 --> 00:03:22,651
Globalisation was really kicking off.
50
00:03:22,651 --> 00:03:27,323
The big UK law firms were expanding at an incredible rate.
51
00:03:27,323 --> 00:03:28,664
It's hard to remember those days.
52
00:03:28,664 --> 00:03:38,062
I mean, if the legal market now was doing what it did back then, particularly younger
people who probably don't remember
53
00:03:38,062 --> 00:03:42,942
those early days 25 years ago, would just be amazed.
54
00:03:42,942 --> 00:03:52,042
mean, know, law firms like Linklaters, for example, just a classic example, went from
being, you know, sort of medium-sized, high-quality magic circle firm in London to forming
55
00:03:52,042 --> 00:03:58,662
alliances with every major top-tier firm across Europe and then merged with all of them,
pretty much.
56
00:03:58,982 --> 00:04:03,442
And then expanded in the US, expanded across, you know, Asia Pacific and so forth.
57
00:04:03,442 --> 00:04:05,342
Just an incredible expansion.
58
00:04:05,342 --> 00:04:07,116
Now you might think, why is he talking about this?
59
00:04:07,116 --> 00:04:17,113
Well, that then led to me becoming eventually a management consultant because I was so
focused on business, so focused on strategy that I then became a management consultant and
60
00:04:17,113 --> 00:04:20,555
I joined a strategy group that was inside Tomton Reuters.
61
00:04:20,555 --> 00:04:22,476
And then I didn't study that long.
62
00:04:22,476 --> 00:04:28,500
And then I joined a sort of UK based strategy consultancy.
63
00:04:28,721 --> 00:04:30,862
I spent five very interesting years there.
64
00:04:30,862 --> 00:04:37,070
It was kind of like doing an MBA in law firm business strategy and learned an enormous
amount.
65
00:04:37,070 --> 00:04:43,670
And it was my last year there, which I think was around 2014, 2015.
66
00:04:43,910 --> 00:04:48,730
One of the things I had, so I was head of research and I also had my own consulting gig,
know, had my own clients.
67
00:04:48,930 --> 00:04:53,930
And one of my jobs was to do reports, big deep analysis.
68
00:04:53,930 --> 00:04:58,210
So, you know, like, you know, what's, what's going to happen with growth in China, you
know?
69
00:04:58,210 --> 00:05:00,210
And so I'd get into the world bank data.
70
00:05:00,210 --> 00:05:03,090
I'd get into all kinds of huge.
71
00:05:03,118 --> 00:05:10,618
data analysis projects and I would like rip out the data and analyze it and then try and
like connect it to what was happening in the legal market.
72
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And you know, and then we would give those to the big law firms who would then sit there
and consider it and then obviously the idea that they would engage you on big consulting
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projects.
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One of the ones that I did was about technology.
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Where is technology going?
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And AI came up.
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Now I've always been interested in technology.
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I've always found it fascinating.
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But AI just kind of popped up and I just thought, yeah, this is really something real.
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And I think the last thing I did while I was working for that consultancy in London was I
did a chapter on AI or legal AI before I'd even heard the term.
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And I just went off on one.
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I was just letting myself go.
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And I was coming up with ideas like, what if two different law firms both had an AI and
the different AIs were using game theory to negotiate a contract?
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And I was, know, I had no, I mean, I'd never read a Legal Tech magazine.
85
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I didn't even know that Legal Tech was a subject, right?
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I mean, I knew, I knew there was a company or two out there, you know, but I no, I didn't
know what Legal Tech was.
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I hadn't got a clue.
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And this is interesting, I mean, I started in the legal world in 1999, right?
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And I first wrote about Legal Tech or Legal Tech related things in 2015.
90
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So what's that 16 years, yeah?
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In 16 years, Legal Tech never ever.
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got above a third or fourth tier subject amongst managing partners who were primarily the
people I was talking to.
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Maybe practice heads, but it was almost always managing partners.
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So LegalTech did not come into it at all.
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I mean, was like the only time LegalTech came up with once or twice.
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when someone said, oh yeah, you were having to buy a new practice management system.
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It's a real pain.
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It's really expensive.
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And you know, it's coming off our bottom line.
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And I'm really upset about it.
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And that was it.
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It was just like, okay, well, yeah, whatever.
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Let's get on.
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Let's talk about more interesting stuff.
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Like who you're going to merge with.
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And then the AI changed everything really for me.
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I mean, I did that.
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I mean, after that, just by chance, I've been, you decided, I think I'd probably had
enough of working.
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inside someone else's organization and decided to create my own business.
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So I launched my own consulting business.
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And while I was doing that, I saw something about a company called Raven, which was, which
is now part of Ironman Asian has been absorbed and that brand name has disappeared.
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But it was an independent company in those days.
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And they were, they were, they kept on popping up in the news for the things that they
were doing using AI.
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And I went to their office, which was in Shoreditch, which at that point was super cool.
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who was kind of like Brooklyn in his heyday, super, super cool.
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And they went into their office and they showed me how we could zip through a whole load
of real estate documents.
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And it did it in just a few seconds.
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And it pulled out all the, obviously we didn't do an accuracy check or anything like that.
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I just assumed it was all perfect back in those days.
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And they just laid it all out.
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just went, bang, there you go.
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We pulled out all the key parts of the contract.
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This is this, this is this.
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And they're just like, wow.
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And it just hit me because like for years and years and years I've been working, you know,
with law firms talking about profitability and, you know, know, revenue per theater, the
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leverage model, all of your things, profit margins, you know, I mean, people, people used
to, you know, I mean, most of people, might see my consultant colleagues used to talk
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about timekeepers.
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You know, that was, that was the standard phrase.
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People would just talk about timekeepers.
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You didn't talk about lawyers.
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He talks about timekeepers because
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If you're a consultant to a law firm, there's a whole bunch of different people.
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I mean, in some cases, there are more people who are not lawyers than there are lawyers in
some firms because there's a whole enormous hinterland of support, all kinds of things
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going on.
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Other times it's a smaller.
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But so we talked about timekeepers because that was the bit that was generating revenue,
but it didn't mean that the other part of the business wasn't important.
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And now suddenly here is this thing that I've just looked at.
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And I'm just, you know, and it just, just, boom, it falls into place into my mind.
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I'm just like, this is going to change everything.
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Cause up to that point, the entire business model of law firms had, except, you know, as
has been explored earlier by other people was, you e-discovery, but particularly from a UK
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perspective, which is more transactionally based, there's less, there's less e-discovery
type work over here.
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It just like hit me.
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It's just like, wow.
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If AI takes off in the legal world, the entire basis of the legal industry that I've been
living with and living within for all these years is gonna completely and utterly and
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absolutely transform.
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Now at that point, that was really early days, really early days, end of 2015, beginning
of 2016.
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I didn't understand the subtleties at that point, but I quickly did.
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And I just thought, you this is, this is going to be so transformative.
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It's going to be so transformative.
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And I decided to start a blog, artificial lawyer, which originally was going to be called
several other things, but I settled on artificial lawyer because I thought it was a good
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title.
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And it's funny because I didn't want to talk too much about myself at beginning, but the
funny thing is it actually helps to connect to the bigger issues that I'd like to get into
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as we go along, which is it's all about the means of production.
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Right.
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It's all about productivity.
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It's all about moving from an artisanal manual labor, legal labor model to one that is
industrialized.
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And I remember, I think it's probably after I started artificial lawyer, I remember
changing my job title on LinkedIn to legal industrialist.
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Because I grew up in the Midlands, which was the home of the Industrial Revolution, or at
least part of the Industrial Revolution.
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And the teacher, know, history classes, we were taught about the industrial revolution.
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We didn't do the Napoleonic Wars and stuff like that.
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We did the industrial revolution because it was almost so that were the history teachers
were allowed to pick, you know, variety of options you could focus on, know, Napoleon and
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Wellington and all of that, or you could do something different.
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And our teachers, because we were in the Midlands and, you know, that's where it all
started.
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We focused very, very much on the industrial revolution.
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So we learned about the spinning genny and the beginning of the steam engines and have
railways developed, the growth of factories and iron smelting and all these things.
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And the whole way that industrialization changed the world.
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And so for me, it was kind of like buried in the back of my mind, know, been there for
decades, literally.
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And it just kind of all just fell into place.
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And I was just like, yes, this is it.
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This is literally it.
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is it.
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This is the thing that changes the foundational basis of this industry.
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This is going to be extraordinary.
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Now that was 2016, right?
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Now people were at the time, some people were just like, yeah, this is awesome.
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And, know, I met a whole bunch of people who totally, totally got into it.
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You know, sometimes people were actually into the AI stuff, but they were not as gung-ho
as I was.
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mean, you know, there was a whole bunch of companies pioneering back then, you know, the
people like Kira.
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You know, there was Ebrevia, was Seal.
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There was a whole bunch of AI companies, legal AI companies, the very first way, using
machine learning, natural language processing.
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Now, of course, we look back at what they could achieve and what they can do is still
good, but it looks extremely niche, very narrow.
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And, you know, as time went by, I kind of realized that, you know, AI was as it was then,
was limited.
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But I never really ever gave up hope that there would be this transformation.
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But what I didn't know was that generative AI was going to come around the corner.
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I mean, to me, it just kind of felt that the machine learning AI would just get better and
better and better.
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And that somehow I couldn't quite figure out how it was going to get there.
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It was just going to spread out and really start to have a real impact at last.
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And that's actually, you know, that's one of the reasons why I got so into looking at the
business model.
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Cause like, you know, I'd often think to myself, well, you know, why isn't it spreading?
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Why is it?
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it because, is it because the tech doesn't work?
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But I mean, by sort of 2017, 2018, the tech was pretty good.
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I mean, if you were doing a due diligence task and you'd been using a particular type of,
you know,
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AI software for a long time, for several years, and they'd been training it up, and you'd
been training it up, and you knew what you were doing, you were going to get very accurate
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results.
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It wasn't like the early days, by 2018, 2019.
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And yeah, it just wasn't really picking up.
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I used to go on to the...
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In the UK, you can see how much revenue certain companies make.
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You can see, because it's public.
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And also you could tell just by looking at how many people other companies had hired, you
can have a pretty good guess.
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of what their revenue is.
203
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You if they've got 10 people, 30 people, 100 people, you know, you can have a guess.
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So they're making 5 million, 20, 30, right?
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And the revenues for the AI companies were so low, so incredibly low.
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And you're like, well, how is that possible?
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They've got a good product.
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A lot of people are still going nuts about it.
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There's so much talk about AI, even in 2018, 2019.
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And yet if you look at their revenues, that tells you a completely separate story, right?
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Because, you know, financial data really tells you a
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story as I'd learned back in the day when I was just doing consulting all the time.
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And I thought, what is going on?
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And that's when I started really getting into analyzing the billable hour and other
things, know, law firm culture, the leverage model.
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And again, that brought back lot of stuff that I'd learned as a consultant.
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In those days, the idea was to try and encourage people to exploit the billable model and
the leverage model as much as they possibly could to expand their profitability.
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And there's nothing wrong in that, you know, law firms be profitable to attract the best
talents and do great work and so forth.
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But
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It was clear to me that there was a structural impediment.
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So I spent a lot of time on that.
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And then in 2022, along comes chat GBT.
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And that really changed everything because for the first time people were saying, this is
the AI I've been waiting for.
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know, I mean, with the early machine learning stuff, I remember like people like sending
me messages going, yeah, this is all very cool, but this is not AI or if this is AI, it's
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really not what I imagined.
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You know, it's very, very narrow what it can do.
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You know, it's very niche.
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The irony is, is that most of that machine learning software did get absorbed.
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You go to like a hundred different companies, you it got absorbed into e-discovery.
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It got absorbed into legal research.
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It got absorbed into a dozen different verticals in the legal tech world.
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So, you know, AI did have an impact.
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It did get normalized, but it didn't change the world.
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It was like round one.
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It was like MySpace.
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Right.
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You know, it was my space of legal AI, you know, and although very few people exited for
200 million, although some people eventually did, of course, because they added a bit of
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gen AI on the end and did extremely well for themselves.
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But yeah, I don't want to get too much into individual companies.
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But and so that's kind of like brings us up to speed and generative AI changed everything
because and this is a funny thing as well, because there's like a whole bunch of people
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like, you know, from Richard Susskind.
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to other people who really pioneered away, like Noah Waysberg, Ned Gannon, Jim Wagner.
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I mean, there's a whole bunch of really pioneering people.
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There were the people who were actually building stuff.
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There were people who were constantly writing and being kind of like a cheerleader and
trying to do stuff.
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And then there was a whole body of people who were really, really like, yes, this is it,
this is it.
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But the tech just wasn't that.
247
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But this is the irony is that as soon as generative AI arrived, I found myself having
exactly the same discussions I had back in 2016.
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So will AI get him away of training lawyers?
249
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So if a junior lawyer's day job is done with AI, how are they going to learn anything?
250
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How they going learn how to review a contract if you use AI?
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Is it the end of lawyers?
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I mean, literally, I know already that seems like dated, but back in the end of 22,
beginning of 23, people were seriously debating that again.
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And it was so weird.
254
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It was like, it was almost as if we, was a complete deja vu.
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But the funny, was almost as well, it's kind of like, it's like the world had been
prepped.
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Have you, don't know if you've ever, you ever, have you ever read the Dune books or
watched the Dune movies?
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Oh, okay, well.
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All right, I won't go down, I won't go down that road.
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But basically the, there's this idea that the way is prepared.
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You're preparing the way.
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And that first and then when it really happens, it really happens because you prepared the
way.
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You've put in place the metaphysical concepts, you've put in place some of the
discussions, some of the books that analyze the big philosophical questions have already
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been written.
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So it's almost like when the thing actually hits for real, bang, it's like, ah, actually
we know what to do with this stuff.
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We know what it's gonna, we know the impact, we know how to handle it.
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And of course, you know,
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It has spread like wildfire.
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I mean, it's extraordinary.
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No, it is relative, right?
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It is all relative.
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And, you know, I think sometimes people think that I'm a bit negative, but I'm not.
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I'm a short-term pessimist, long-term optimist, right?
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I'm completely realistic about the challenges.
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I mean, I've been covering this sector now for what?
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Yeah, exactly.
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I'm not very good at maths.
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I did do A-level maths, but basic maths is not my forte.
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This, you know, we're just at the beginning.
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Even after all this time, we're just at the beginning.
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We are just at the beginning.
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So, you know, like you, you mentioned, you might want to talk about agents.
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Agents are a bit ropey.
283
00:19:47,353 --> 00:19:48,020
They're a bit flaky.
284
00:19:48,020 --> 00:19:49,751
They're not accurate enough.
285
00:19:51,333 --> 00:19:54,516
People keep saying that 2025 is going to be the year of the agents.
286
00:19:54,616 --> 00:19:57,058
It's going to be the year of people playing with agents.
287
00:19:57,396 --> 00:20:10,005
Well, one thing struck me on what you said, and that was how when you were covering law
firm strategy, the topic of technology would come up.
288
00:20:11,407 --> 00:20:14,929
it was, hey, let's talk about something more interesting.
289
00:20:15,030 --> 00:20:22,175
And historically, so I've been involved in the industry since 2008, tangentially even
earlier than that.
290
00:20:22,956 --> 00:20:27,013
technology historically has not been a strategic
291
00:20:27,013 --> 00:20:29,003
imperative for law firms.
292
00:20:29,454 --> 00:20:33,465
there's many reasons why, uh, they operate on a cash basis.
293
00:20:34,505 --> 00:20:39,907
there is, uh, there is a lot of lateral movement within law firms.
294
00:20:39,907 --> 00:20:52,110
You know, we, we call big law firms here, sometimes hotels for lawyers, because there
there's so much, it's so transient in nature and that makes capital projects difficult
295
00:20:52,110 --> 00:20:56,830
because, um, for, many reasons, especially because as
296
00:20:56,830 --> 00:21:06,812
the law firm leadership that rises through the ranks by seniority and oftentimes by being
the best at lawyering as opposed to who's necessarily the best leader.
297
00:21:06,933 --> 00:21:14,366
And the fact that law firm ownership is exclusively lawyers in the U S except for
298
00:21:14,366 --> 00:21:16,686
that's an interesting point you see.
299
00:21:18,946 --> 00:21:22,466
People thought that the Legal Services Act in the UK was going to change everything.
300
00:21:22,466 --> 00:21:24,586
It didn't change anything, hardly anything.
301
00:21:24,586 --> 00:21:26,366
It was a complete damp script.
302
00:21:28,546 --> 00:21:38,606
As I said in an article in artificial law the other day, it doesn't matter who owns a
group of law firm, lawyers in a particular sort of type of corporate entity, if they don't
303
00:21:38,606 --> 00:21:40,886
change how they work, nothing changes.
304
00:21:41,166 --> 00:21:42,882
And the fundamental...
305
00:21:42,882 --> 00:21:50,808
thing is, is that they did not change how they worked and they did not change how they
worked because they didn't see an incentive to do so.
306
00:21:51,129 --> 00:21:54,141
There was no, there was no burning platform and there was no incentive.
307
00:21:54,141 --> 00:21:57,674
There was no lily pad, but it was better and more golden to jump onto.
308
00:21:57,674 --> 00:22:00,357
And there was no burning platform either.
309
00:22:00,357 --> 00:22:03,489
And it's the thing is, that, law firms can do incredible things.
310
00:22:03,489 --> 00:22:07,833
It's like going back to like when I was in the midst of the globalization of the legal
market.
311
00:22:07,833 --> 00:22:12,118
I law firms, law firms, very, very conservative organizations on one level.
312
00:22:12,118 --> 00:22:14,259
When they want to move, man, they move.
313
00:22:14,960 --> 00:22:24,925
They, I mean, you know, these large English law firms and large US law firms just went
around the world like a supernova just went boom in about two years.
314
00:22:24,925 --> 00:22:32,289
They went from like being 500 lawyers to like, you know, 3000 lawyers with like from three
offices to like 25 offices.
315
00:22:33,410 --> 00:22:36,512
And that required a lot of investment as well.
316
00:22:36,512 --> 00:22:40,406
And they did that, they did that because there was a gigantic advantage.
317
00:22:40,406 --> 00:22:42,547
And there was also a gigantic threat, right?
318
00:22:42,547 --> 00:22:45,108
If they didn't globalize, they would lose their clients.
319
00:22:45,229 --> 00:22:48,610
And if they did globalize, they could charge way more.
320
00:22:48,711 --> 00:23:00,118
And also there would be far fewer of them because there's far fewer really top tier global
law firms, certainly back 20 years ago there was, than there were just good firms in
321
00:23:00,118 --> 00:23:01,898
various each local market.
322
00:23:02,039 --> 00:23:04,160
Now with legal tech, we're not there yet.
323
00:23:04,160 --> 00:23:07,882
Legal tech is still seen as decoration, right?
324
00:23:07,882 --> 00:23:23,456
It's like an Ikea catalog, you flick through it, you go, yeah, like one of those skublish
pillows and a flutu shelving unit and a you-do whatever, know, doofa, you know, made out
325
00:23:23,456 --> 00:23:24,927
of whatever.
326
00:23:25,647 --> 00:23:27,998
And it makes your life easier, makes your life nicer.
327
00:23:27,998 --> 00:23:30,809
As a lawyer, it's more comfortable, it's more pleasant.
328
00:23:30,809 --> 00:23:35,190
You shave away some of the inefficiency, but it never really gets into the billable work,
right?
329
00:23:35,190 --> 00:23:36,430
We're still...
330
00:23:36,430 --> 00:23:38,210
We're still in that stage.
331
00:23:38,210 --> 00:23:44,549
haven't, but this is the things I do honestly believe that the train has left the
platform, right?
332
00:23:44,549 --> 00:23:52,730
And that's why I wrote an article a few weeks ago, a couple of months ago, which some
people either loved or hated, but I think it's absolutely true, which is, know, it's the
333
00:23:52,730 --> 00:23:55,790
end of, you know, the legal world as we know it.
334
00:23:55,790 --> 00:24:04,450
And I feel fine because it is, because finally, finally, finally, finally, you know,
someone has lit the touch paper.
335
00:24:06,208 --> 00:24:08,961
the fundamental things that were needed, the right conditions.
336
00:24:08,961 --> 00:24:16,448
It's like revolutions, some famous revolution, not sure which one said it, that for a
revolution to start, you need the right conditions.
337
00:24:16,548 --> 00:24:18,358
You can't just have a bunch of revolutionaries.
338
00:24:18,358 --> 00:24:22,354
You can't have as many revolutionaries as you like running up and down the streets going,
we're a revolution.
339
00:24:22,354 --> 00:24:25,698
If you don't have the right conditions, nothing happens.
340
00:24:25,698 --> 00:24:28,770
You just get a of really annoying demonstrations.
341
00:24:28,770 --> 00:24:30,762
Nothing actually ever changes.
342
00:24:31,510 --> 00:24:32,920
And I think this is what's different.
343
00:24:32,920 --> 00:24:34,671
I think the conditions are there.
344
00:24:34,671 --> 00:24:37,232
Now, am I expecting rapid change?
345
00:24:37,232 --> 00:24:38,452
Absolutely not.
346
00:24:38,452 --> 00:24:40,753
mean, you know, once bitten twice shy.
347
00:24:40,753 --> 00:24:44,544
mean, my estimate, and I don't know where I got this from.
348
00:24:44,544 --> 00:24:47,135
It's kind of almost like an instinct, and I could be wrong.
349
00:24:47,195 --> 00:24:51,356
We'll get to where we need to be, at least at end of stage one in 2037.
350
00:24:51,356 --> 00:24:55,056
That's my guess, about a dozen years.
351
00:24:55,056 --> 00:24:55,898
Wow.
352
00:24:56,204 --> 00:24:58,275
Yeah, I don't think we'll get where we need.
353
00:24:58,275 --> 00:25:01,176
And when I say where we need to be, mean, real transformation.
354
00:25:01,176 --> 00:25:06,739
mean, in the same way that no one really uses landlines, we've all got mobile phones,
we've all got smartphones.
355
00:25:06,739 --> 00:25:12,900
The same way that people don't go to lending libraries anymore, we all use some form of
digital entry point.
356
00:25:13,042 --> 00:25:17,503
That's the kind of transformation I'm I'm talking real transformation of the legal market.
357
00:25:17,544 --> 00:25:22,786
It's going to take about a dozen years, but we're on the way.
358
00:25:23,187 --> 00:25:28,787
Yeah, well, and how far we are down that path is an interesting question.
359
00:25:28,887 --> 00:25:34,147
So I looked at the, I have it up here, the 2024 Iltta Technology Survey.
360
00:25:34,147 --> 00:25:43,867
And this question could have been asked better, but the question was, is your firm using
generative AI tools for business tasks?
361
00:25:43,867 --> 00:25:50,607
For law firms, 700 attorneys and above, the answer was yes for 74 % of the firms.
362
00:25:50,920 --> 00:25:59,354
Then on another screen here, have Thompson Reuters reports that says just 10 % of law
firms have a GEN.AI policy.
363
00:26:00,596 --> 00:26:08,429
Yeah, I don't think I mean, I don't most of these tables are all these surveys have
limited value.
364
00:26:08,429 --> 00:26:10,890
Some of them better up and others some are really good.
365
00:26:11,271 --> 00:26:20,134
but you know, and also they're out of date by the time they've been written in many cases,
you know, particularly when it comes to slight gene AI adoption.
366
00:26:20,134 --> 00:26:25,296
The reality is the vast majority of big law firms are using generative AI in some way.
367
00:26:25,296 --> 00:26:29,098
The reality though is that very few of them are actually using it.
368
00:26:29,098 --> 00:26:32,900
to alter how they're doing billable work or significant amounts of billable work.
369
00:26:32,900 --> 00:26:35,720
They're it up to the edges.
370
00:26:36,941 --> 00:26:39,622
One of the metaphors I use is the pizza.
371
00:26:39,622 --> 00:26:47,946
So imagine like a really, really chunky deep dish pizza with a beautiful cheesy crust,
well, a crust without any cheese on it around the edge, right?
372
00:26:47,946 --> 00:26:50,667
The crust is being eaten away by generative AI.
373
00:26:50,667 --> 00:26:53,028
There's no more crust on this pizza.
374
00:26:53,028 --> 00:26:56,919
You know how everyone eats pizzas in a different way?
375
00:26:56,919 --> 00:26:58,630
Some people cut them into like,
376
00:26:58,994 --> 00:27:10,239
sort of like completely irregular sort of like parallelograms and other people just cut me
into tiny slices and other people just fold them up and you know, it's kind of like that's
377
00:27:10,239 --> 00:27:20,644
kind of like where we are, but fundamentally the real center of the pizza where all the
good stuff is, that's not really being touched very much.
378
00:27:20,644 --> 00:27:22,544
It really isn't, you know.
379
00:27:23,265 --> 00:27:26,506
But that's the thing is once it is, I mean,
380
00:27:27,254 --> 00:27:29,116
Law firms are not that complicated, right?
381
00:27:29,116 --> 00:27:32,649
They're actually one of the simplest businesses on the planet.
382
00:27:32,649 --> 00:27:35,201
As corporate organisms go, they're incredibly simple.
383
00:27:35,201 --> 00:27:40,925
They're mostly corporate, sorry, they're mostly partnerships rather than corporates.
384
00:27:41,306 --> 00:27:42,607
They're individuals.
385
00:27:42,607 --> 00:27:53,756
You have a small group of owners, you have equity partners, have a pyramidal base of
leverage which goes down mostly via seniority, which is ranked to some degree on the
386
00:27:53,756 --> 00:27:55,758
complexity of the work that they can handle.
387
00:27:55,758 --> 00:27:57,418
and they get charged different amounts as well.
388
00:27:57,418 --> 00:27:59,978
It's a beautifully simplistic model, it's wonderful.
389
00:28:00,998 --> 00:28:05,138
To make as much money as possible, you just work as many hours as possible, that's all you
have to do.
390
00:28:05,138 --> 00:28:10,038
Even if you get big write-offs, it doesn't matter, as long as you're busy, everything's
cool, right?
391
00:28:10,038 --> 00:28:19,198
You're on the hour, the financial risk is someone else's, you have to pay for professional
indemnity insurance, but beyond that, as long as you don't mess up, everyone's happy,
392
00:28:19,198 --> 00:28:19,358
right?
393
00:28:19,358 --> 00:28:20,478
We're all happy.
394
00:28:21,038 --> 00:28:25,292
And the clients, despite everything they say every single year, are...
395
00:28:25,292 --> 00:28:28,363
generally allowing the law firms to do whatever they want.
396
00:28:28,363 --> 00:28:37,345
And I think fundamentally, the reason why they do that is because A, they have come out of
those law firms in the first place because that was their training ground.
397
00:28:37,345 --> 00:28:43,987
And secondly, because I think, and it's one of these things that people don't like to talk
about, it's another elephant in the room, it's like the billable hour, it's another
398
00:28:43,987 --> 00:28:54,830
elephant in the room, which is I think a lot of corporates enjoy, enjoy is not the right
word, but they actually, they feel comfortable spending a lot of money.
399
00:28:54,990 --> 00:29:02,070
on particular law firms in the same way that people want to go to certain ski resorts.
400
00:29:02,070 --> 00:29:04,570
Snow is snow, right?
401
00:29:04,570 --> 00:29:14,810
You don't have to go to some luxury eight-star resort in wherever, where they sprinkle
caviar on the piece for you.
402
00:29:15,230 --> 00:29:16,050
Snow is snow.
403
00:29:16,050 --> 00:29:17,710
You can just ski.
404
00:29:17,710 --> 00:29:21,342
But let's face it, we live in the real world.
405
00:29:21,342 --> 00:29:32,085
society itself is pyramidal stratification there's all kinds of weird um you could you
could argue illogical social behavior but then if you argue equally that one of the
406
00:29:32,085 --> 00:29:39,897
aspects of all pyramidal societies is you know sort of hierarchical control and hegemony
and all these kind of things we can get into some really sort of deep philosophical stuff
407
00:29:39,897 --> 00:29:48,844
if you like this is one of the problems is is that you you look at a basic law firm
business model and you just go this is completely irrational of course
408
00:29:48,844 --> 00:29:56,905
new technology will be absorbed, they will drop the billblower, they will move on to fix
fees, they will increase their profits, they will send out a message to the clients that
409
00:29:56,905 --> 00:29:58,118
this is the way to go.
410
00:29:58,118 --> 00:30:02,720
It's so obvious, it's so logical, but it doesn't happen.
411
00:30:02,920 --> 00:30:08,642
So I've spent literally years getting into it and it is fascinating, it is fascinating.
412
00:30:08,943 --> 00:30:16,686
I think one of the fundamental problems of the legal industry, the commercial legal
industry, is that the buyers are not the buyers.
413
00:30:17,174 --> 00:30:21,795
Right, the buyers for legal services, right, don't go anywhere near the law firms.
414
00:30:22,916 --> 00:30:29,978
Except the CEO of Goldman Sachs doesn't go wandering around law firms, and I'm sure he
tries not to, right.
415
00:30:29,978 --> 00:30:34,059
It's the lawyers inside Goldman Sachs who engage the law firms outside.
416
00:30:34,059 --> 00:30:41,311
And they all came from those law firms in the first place and probably have relations, and
they were probably intermarried and went to the same schools and play at the same tennis
417
00:30:41,311 --> 00:30:42,272
clubs and all this kind of stuff.
418
00:30:42,272 --> 00:30:44,372
And it's like a subtle stratification type thing.
419
00:30:44,792 --> 00:30:54,610
You know, that's an extreme example, that, you know, you might say that's, you know,
microcosm plays out across all the entire planet and all markets, even down to the
420
00:30:54,610 --> 00:30:57,632
smallest country town, you know.
421
00:30:58,314 --> 00:31:00,576
So it's, you've got that.
422
00:31:00,576 --> 00:31:08,442
And then of course you've got this point about, you know, the legal market effectively
places itself, controls itself.
423
00:31:08,442 --> 00:31:13,196
So, you know, the police force for the legal market, at least in many countries.
424
00:31:13,354 --> 00:31:26,145
is the bar, and the bar is run by lawyers and the effectively the, you you might say the
executive branch of this sort of like control organisation of courts, the judges within
425
00:31:26,145 --> 00:31:28,306
it, their lawyers obviously.
426
00:31:28,306 --> 00:31:32,249
So, you know, it's kind of like they've got all the angles covered.
427
00:31:32,370 --> 00:31:40,686
But this thing is like, and I think, you know, and I think a lot of people have argued
understandably for long time, but if we can get rid of that, then the whole legal market
428
00:31:40,686 --> 00:31:41,077
will change.
429
00:31:41,077 --> 00:31:43,094
But we did this in the UK years ago.
430
00:31:43,094 --> 00:31:44,815
It changed absolutely nothing.
431
00:31:44,915 --> 00:31:48,777
I mean, any, mean, I could, if I had enough money, I could buy a law firm, right?
432
00:31:48,777 --> 00:31:57,252
I could walk around the city of London with my checkbook and go, right, you know, I'm sure
the very large ones would tell me to bugger off, but maybe a very small one would say,
433
00:31:57,252 --> 00:31:57,812
okay, fair enough.
434
00:31:57,812 --> 00:31:59,723
If you've got enough money, yeah, you can have us.
435
00:31:59,723 --> 00:32:00,314
Right?
436
00:32:00,314 --> 00:32:02,534
I mean, like I could list them on the stock market.
437
00:32:02,534 --> 00:32:04,135
I mean, after that, could say, there's enough of that.
438
00:32:04,135 --> 00:32:06,326
I'll sell them to a private equity fund.
439
00:32:06,467 --> 00:32:13,073
It would make absolutely no difference at all to the legal market unless they changed how
they worked.
440
00:32:13,073 --> 00:32:13,923
Right.
441
00:32:14,224 --> 00:32:14,544
Yeah.
442
00:32:14,544 --> 00:32:18,286
Well, that's a chicken or the egg concept in my mind.
443
00:32:18,286 --> 00:32:31,394
think that, so we are, this transformation of ownership rules is underway here in the U S
and you've heard about the big four stepping in KPMG specifically.
444
00:32:31,394 --> 00:32:32,945
We've heard this before.
445
00:32:33,052 --> 00:32:34,572
I think it'll have no effect at all.
446
00:32:34,572 --> 00:32:37,408
I think it will have almost zero impact personally.
447
00:32:37,408 --> 00:32:39,550
so, and a lot of people agree with you.
448
00:32:39,550 --> 00:32:40,530
I'm on the other side.
449
00:32:40,530 --> 00:32:42,541
I'm on the other side of that this time.
450
00:32:42,541 --> 00:32:50,546
Um, I know we've seen there, you know, there's been this, um, industrialization of legal
services in the past, right?
451
00:32:50,546 --> 00:33:01,949
With ALSPs and then, you know, the big four consultants coming in previously, E and Y
standing up a fairly big, uh, organization around delivering legal work.
452
00:33:01,949 --> 00:33:14,840
The reason I think it's differently, different this time is just because there is a
mechanism where it's going to put pressure on the billable hour in a way where I think
453
00:33:14,840 --> 00:33:21,596
outsiders coming in with different skill sets and evaluating the problem domain within
legal.
454
00:33:21,596 --> 00:33:29,723
know, historically legal has been such a bespoke artisan industry, as you point out, and
now we're in a place where that is under pressure.
455
00:33:29,795 --> 00:33:41,218
And you're going, if this does, if this movement does get traction where, you know, again,
the big four will be the first entrance into the space, but public, uh, private equity
456
00:33:41,218 --> 00:33:43,139
could be not far behind.
457
00:33:43,139 --> 00:33:53,652
Um, there will be management structures and boards of directors in place that are no
longer lawyers that are going to re look at these problems differently and how to solve
458
00:33:53,652 --> 00:33:57,843
them and how to, how to build innovation, you know, innovation.
459
00:33:57,862 --> 00:34:00,153
Legal innovation is an oxymoron.
460
00:34:00,153 --> 00:34:03,635
It's like saying jumbo shrimp or military intelligence.
461
00:34:03,635 --> 00:34:07,176
There's very little innovation that happens in legal.
462
00:34:07,176 --> 00:34:08,417
And I say that with love.
463
00:34:08,417 --> 00:34:11,538
These are my customers, the legal innovation teams.
464
00:34:11,898 --> 00:34:21,996
And I'm not saying there's not innovative work happening, but the fundamental structural
elements of law firms hasn't changed at all.
465
00:34:21,996 --> 00:34:24,713
Well, that part I would definitely agree with,
466
00:34:24,721 --> 00:34:27,272
Yeah, well, and that's what innovation is.
467
00:34:27,452 --> 00:34:34,796
you know, Chief Innovation Officers are really mostly focused on improvement, not
innovation.
468
00:34:34,796 --> 00:34:37,717
They're incremental improvement officers.
469
00:34:37,997 --> 00:34:40,378
And it's not for a lack of skill.
470
00:34:40,378 --> 00:34:46,661
know highly skilled, innovative thinkers in these roles, and it's not for lack of trying.
471
00:34:46,661 --> 00:34:51,343
It's the culture, it's the industry, it's the ownership model.
472
00:34:51,604 --> 00:35:01,656
All of these things have been so well entrenched and you know, the pricing model, the
client engagement model, the internal firm compensation model, these things are so firmly
473
00:35:01,656 --> 00:35:09,978
entrenched and there has to be movement within those elements in order for, in order for
there to be real change.
474
00:35:09,978 --> 00:35:12,649
there's, there just hasn't been an appetite for that.
475
00:35:12,649 --> 00:35:21,457
So I'm, I'm, I'm, I'm less skeptical than you on this go round, but ultimately time will
tell.
476
00:35:21,457 --> 00:35:22,264
Right?
477
00:35:22,702 --> 00:35:24,122
Yeah, well, I hope you're right.
478
00:35:24,122 --> 00:35:25,442
hope you're right.
479
00:35:25,962 --> 00:35:35,422
The thing is, I mean, in a funny way, it's like, I'm actually more optimistic because I'm
like, my big picture view is like really, really transformative.
480
00:35:36,042 --> 00:35:41,202
I mean, it's kind of, I mean, for me, it's like an exponential curve.
481
00:35:41,202 --> 00:35:43,022
It's just like what's happening at the moment.
482
00:35:43,022 --> 00:35:46,482
We're really at the bottom of it and it looks so slow and so small.
483
00:35:46,522 --> 00:35:51,662
But when we really start to get up, you know, into the higher parts of that curve,
484
00:35:51,662 --> 00:35:53,082
It's really radical.
485
00:35:53,082 --> 00:35:56,802
But like I say, we're looking at a decade plus to get to that radical bit.
486
00:35:56,802 --> 00:36:00,322
I mean, this was simply doing the groundwork.
487
00:36:00,322 --> 00:36:02,202
We're preparing the way.
488
00:36:03,222 --> 00:36:06,792
The irony is that there were people even before 2015.
489
00:36:06,792 --> 00:36:12,982
I mean, think, know, because eBrevier can trace its roots back to I think about 2012 or
something.
490
00:36:13,322 --> 00:36:21,422
I mean, there are people who've been working in this field using these ideas and coming up
against these problems, which we're knocking around.
491
00:36:21,902 --> 00:36:29,602
for like 20 years, well, 20 years, 13 years.
492
00:36:30,802 --> 00:36:32,282
But we will get there.
493
00:36:32,282 --> 00:36:33,922
I mean, think this is the thing, it?
494
00:36:33,922 --> 00:36:37,942
I mean, the age thing is a really interesting one, isn't it?
495
00:36:38,722 --> 00:36:46,402
Because if you were 20 and you were at a law firm and someone told you, like in 12 years,
the industry really is going to change.
496
00:36:46,402 --> 00:36:49,962
I know we all keep talking about whether that change will change, but it really will
change.
497
00:36:50,190 --> 00:36:56,170
You'd like, well, if I start this law firm and I become a partner, I'll probably just be
really getting into high gear.
498
00:36:56,170 --> 00:36:58,890
I'll just be really, really motoring at that point.
499
00:36:58,890 --> 00:37:01,710
And I'll be perhaps even an owner if I'm lucky.
500
00:37:01,710 --> 00:37:03,970
It might be an equity partner if I was really lucky.
501
00:37:04,390 --> 00:37:06,450
And wow, yeah.
502
00:37:06,450 --> 00:37:10,350
So it's going to be very, very, very interesting for that generation.
503
00:37:10,450 --> 00:37:16,524
Whereas if you're an equity partner now and you're like 45 heading towards 50, you know.
504
00:37:16,524 --> 00:37:17,765
These are smart people, right?
505
00:37:17,765 --> 00:37:29,975
They can see how much change has been so far and they'll just like, yeah, I'm going to see
out the rest of my career and into retirement before anything really, really looks like a
506
00:37:29,975 --> 00:37:31,176
burning platform.
507
00:37:31,495 --> 00:37:31,975
Yeah.
508
00:37:31,975 --> 00:37:35,878
And you know, the, what's interesting is I did a little research on the billable hour.
509
00:37:35,878 --> 00:37:40,542
Um, so it's really only firmly been entrenched for about 50 years.
510
00:37:40,542 --> 00:37:42,142
It was, it was formed.
511
00:37:42,142 --> 00:37:51,782
And it was Hale and Doar, it's funny that you sent me that because I actually found that
out myself, I was doing some research and I actually contacted Hale and Doar twice to see
512
00:37:51,782 --> 00:37:54,662
if they wanted to talk about it and they never replied to me.
513
00:37:54,662 --> 00:38:01,362
So I don't know if you've got any good buddies at Hale and Doar, if they would like to
talk about the birth of the Bill of the Hour.
514
00:38:01,362 --> 00:38:07,330
But originally we started as an access to justice move because I thought that...
515
00:38:07,330 --> 00:38:10,152
by having clarity over what something costs.
516
00:38:10,152 --> 00:38:12,534
Because obviously in the old days, people would literally just look at you.
517
00:38:12,534 --> 00:38:16,987
They'd look at your shoes, look at your pocket watch and go, where do you live?
518
00:38:16,987 --> 00:38:18,508
Hmm, okay, right.
519
00:38:18,508 --> 00:38:20,130
So it's gonna be this much.
520
00:38:20,130 --> 00:38:23,722
And they would literally charge, it would just be like, what's this guy worth?
521
00:38:23,722 --> 00:38:24,492
Right?
522
00:38:24,492 --> 00:38:26,743
And would just charge whatever they felt.
523
00:38:27,504 --> 00:38:31,487
And then the idea was is that the billable hour would give transparency.
524
00:38:31,487 --> 00:38:36,142
So people who didn't have as much wealth would get a fair shake of the stick.
525
00:38:36,142 --> 00:38:38,403
And then of course, that was generally ignored.
526
00:38:38,404 --> 00:38:46,541
then with economic growth, and I think particularly the end of 70s and certainly with the
80s, there's this explosion of economic growth across the West, globalization,
527
00:38:46,541 --> 00:38:55,517
computerization, massive rising productivity, know, that kind of Reagan era, know,
Thatcher era, globalization of capitalism, global capitalism in general.
528
00:38:56,639 --> 00:39:00,832
It created this huge surge of work for commercial lawyers.
529
00:39:01,454 --> 00:39:04,014
And there's a big expansion of in-house legal teams.
530
00:39:04,014 --> 00:39:09,054
was a real change, a real sea change in global capitalism, really, really altered.
531
00:39:09,954 --> 00:39:15,354
And people started to realize that leverage wasn't just question of having bodies to do
the work.
532
00:39:15,354 --> 00:39:21,614
That if you were clever about how you managed it, partner profits could gigantically
increase.
533
00:39:22,114 --> 00:39:26,094
mean, that's one of the things, if you go back, if you go back like 40 years, you look at
what partners made.
534
00:39:26,094 --> 00:39:29,506
mean, they were wealthy compared to the average person in America or Britain.
535
00:39:29,506 --> 00:39:33,248
But compared to now, they were making a fraction of what they make now.
536
00:39:33,248 --> 00:39:40,152
mean, now, like, and this is very, very much due to leverage in the middle of the hour.
537
00:39:40,752 --> 00:39:52,379
You could not, mean, with that, then this is the thing I keep trying to try to introduce
into the into the discussion is that you can actually make more money as an owner using
538
00:39:52,379 --> 00:39:55,200
technology and fixed fees.
539
00:39:56,541 --> 00:39:58,458
people, people just don't want to go down that road.
540
00:39:58,458 --> 00:40:01,680
well, and what people, I don't think it's all law firms.
541
00:40:01,680 --> 00:40:08,645
think the buyers of legal services are also most comfortable with this model that's been
firmly entrenched for 50 years.
542
00:40:08,645 --> 00:40:14,629
If you talk to inside teams, inside legal teams, you know, they kind of want the best of
both worlds.
543
00:40:14,629 --> 00:40:19,072
They, uh, kind of a not to exceeds model where, Hey, I pay you.
544
00:40:19,072 --> 00:40:24,275
I don't know that there's enough trust in between law firm and
545
00:40:24,525 --> 00:40:36,500
and legal buyer for legal buyer to feel comfortable that whatever that price is set is
going to ultimately be fair.
546
00:40:36,500 --> 00:40:42,702
And I think it's just been a factor of buyer side hesitation.
547
00:40:42,923 --> 00:40:47,425
And on the law firm side, a lot of law firms have been flying blind.
548
00:40:47,425 --> 00:40:53,467
Their data has historically sucked around this and the ability to
549
00:40:53,502 --> 00:40:54,743
build pricing models.
550
00:40:54,743 --> 00:40:55,384
It's gotten better.
551
00:40:55,384 --> 00:41:04,121
And I'd say the last five years, like pre-COVID, I started to see like real data work,
data rationalization work happening within law firms.
552
00:41:04,121 --> 00:41:06,534
And it's accelerated since then.
553
00:41:06,534 --> 00:41:07,755
definitely.
554
00:41:07,755 --> 00:41:10,836
If you look at all the billing software out there now, it's so advanced.
555
00:41:10,836 --> 00:41:17,859
mean, you know, and then you've got people like organizations like Sally, which are really
helping develop taxonomies and so forth.
556
00:41:17,994 --> 00:41:20,700
I mean, there's no excuses now for the large firms.
557
00:41:20,700 --> 00:41:21,390
have the data.
558
00:41:21,390 --> 00:41:22,210
have the data.
559
00:41:22,210 --> 00:41:24,802
The funny thing is the write-offs are gigantic.
560
00:41:25,562 --> 00:41:31,385
you know, I won't mention any names, but I can think of a firm that is literally writing
off hundreds of millions a year.
561
00:41:31,385 --> 00:41:34,956
mean, literally hundreds of millions of dollars.
562
00:41:35,438 --> 00:41:37,098
total write-offs, right?
563
00:41:37,098 --> 00:41:40,318
Now that means that the whole, it becomes really bizarre.
564
00:41:40,318 --> 00:41:44,278
Like I was talking to someone once and I was thinking like, you know, where's the value?
565
00:41:44,278 --> 00:41:47,378
And they were saying, well, the value is in the senior partners, the experience.
566
00:41:47,378 --> 00:41:48,818
I said, okay, so that's what the client is paying.
567
00:41:48,818 --> 00:41:52,098
So let's say you do a deal, let's say it's a relatively small deal.
568
00:41:52,098 --> 00:41:53,598
It's a million dollars, right?
569
00:41:53,598 --> 00:41:54,878
Big law deal, right?
570
00:41:54,878 --> 00:41:56,458
M &A deal, million dollars.
571
00:41:56,458 --> 00:41:57,938
And I said, well, so where's the value then?
572
00:41:57,938 --> 00:42:04,750
I said, well, know, the vast majority of that is the expertise of the firm, the
historical, you know, IP of these.
573
00:42:04,750 --> 00:42:10,030
individuals, you know, their skills, their experience, they've been through a hundred
major deals, they've seen everything.
574
00:42:10,030 --> 00:42:11,230
And I said, okay, brilliant.
575
00:42:11,230 --> 00:42:11,870
That's perfect.
576
00:42:11,870 --> 00:42:12,570
Wonderful.
577
00:42:12,570 --> 00:42:21,070
So why is it that 85 % of the bill is non equity partner and below leverage billing?
578
00:42:21,490 --> 00:42:32,850
So effectively you're getting people to do a ton of what you might call manual labor to
pad out a bill, which is then sent to the client who then knocks off a third and says,
579
00:42:32,850 --> 00:42:34,242
because, I can.
580
00:42:34,242 --> 00:42:37,443
they've just put up their rates by a third over the last couple of years anyway.
581
00:42:37,443 --> 00:42:40,504
So it's an absolute muddle.
582
00:42:41,165 --> 00:42:46,767
The idea of the billable hour is that it gives some kind of empirical clarity to what's
going on.
583
00:42:46,767 --> 00:42:51,379
It's actually the whole thing really, it's an illusion.
584
00:42:51,379 --> 00:42:56,191
The idea that there's any logic in any of it doesn't make any sense, right?
585
00:42:56,191 --> 00:43:02,684
So you've got a junior lawyer who has no technology other than word and email.
586
00:43:03,342 --> 00:43:06,582
plodding their way through a due diligence exercise, right?
587
00:43:06,582 --> 00:43:11,782
And the lawyer next to them is using the best AI of all automation and all kinds of stuff.
588
00:43:11,802 --> 00:43:17,562
And they've got a fantastic understanding of data and metadata and they're absolutely on
it, right?
589
00:43:17,942 --> 00:43:23,122
They're zipping through the documents like, you know, one every five minutes and a really
high accuracy, right?
590
00:43:23,122 --> 00:43:29,962
Probably accuracy at the same level as you have a junior lawyer, because, you know, the
accuracy to some degree is based on their own ability to spot errors and that's based on
591
00:43:29,962 --> 00:43:31,122
experience, right?
592
00:43:31,122 --> 00:43:32,750
So like one guy,
593
00:43:32,750 --> 00:43:36,990
He's doing a document every five minutes and everyone's doing a document every hour.
594
00:43:37,490 --> 00:43:38,250
Right.
595
00:43:38,250 --> 00:43:42,170
Now, if we were not in the legal world, we were in a completely different industry.
596
00:43:42,170 --> 00:43:45,610
And I said to you, which of these is the more profitable?
597
00:43:45,610 --> 00:43:48,630
You'd be like, well, obviously the guy who's going at five minutes, this guy's a genius.
598
00:43:48,630 --> 00:43:53,390
mean, you know, want loads of these and like, wrong.
599
00:43:53,890 --> 00:43:56,650
You know, this guy is a liability.
600
00:43:56,650 --> 00:43:59,010
Get rid of him, for God's sake.
601
00:43:59,840 --> 00:44:00,813
It's madness.
602
00:44:00,813 --> 00:44:01,464
It's madness.
603
00:44:01,464 --> 00:44:04,465
The only person who sees this, it's completely insane.
604
00:44:04,465 --> 00:44:04,816
Yeah.
605
00:44:04,816 --> 00:44:07,738
I mean, the billable hour does reward inefficiency.
606
00:44:07,738 --> 00:44:09,542
And I think that's.
607
00:44:09,642 --> 00:44:12,262
don't think they're doing it deliberately so much.
608
00:44:13,302 --> 00:44:18,151
I think for me it prevents efficiency.
609
00:44:18,151 --> 00:44:20,212
Yeah, right.
610
00:44:20,573 --> 00:44:22,094
And that's, that's very true.
611
00:44:22,094 --> 00:44:30,912
Talking about the tools for a minute, cause I had a visual in my mind when, when you laid
out that metaphor and I'm going to use Harvey as an example, but the question isn't about
612
00:44:30,912 --> 00:44:31,373
Harvey.
613
00:44:31,373 --> 00:44:34,706
It's just, they're kind of a first mover in the space.
614
00:44:34,706 --> 00:44:37,288
Um, you talked about my space.
615
00:44:37,288 --> 00:44:39,891
First movers aren't always the long-term winners.
616
00:44:39,891 --> 00:44:45,448
I mean, look in the software world, you know, um, Netscape Navigator, um,
617
00:44:45,448 --> 00:44:49,830
You know, Lotus one, two, three, Harvard graphics, Dbase.
618
00:44:50,211 --> 00:44:52,492
there's a million examples, MySpace.
619
00:44:52,492 --> 00:44:56,044
The first mover usually isn't the long-term winner.
620
00:44:56,044 --> 00:45:06,340
And what I'm, what I'm thinking about when I see these valuations in this massive tidal
wave of investment that's making its way into legal tech now, which I think is a good
621
00:45:06,340 --> 00:45:12,593
thing overall, but are these kind of early platforms going to be the long-term winners?
622
00:45:12,593 --> 00:45:23,828
Because if you look at the amount being invested and what needs to happen in order to hit
evaluation that the investors are going to walk away happy about, they kind of have to be.
623
00:45:24,709 --> 00:45:28,162
What are your thoughts on that dynamic?
624
00:45:28,162 --> 00:45:34,745
want to get into any particular company because it's kind of unfair to do something that's
going to be aired publicly.
625
00:45:34,745 --> 00:45:47,650
I mean, I mean, just generally, if you look at startup revenues, right, they're relatively
small in the legal tech world and they stay small, they grow relatively slowly.
626
00:45:49,972 --> 00:45:56,094
Some companies that were given a lot of money very quickly ended up in trouble and got
bought.
627
00:45:56,334 --> 00:46:01,434
And the founders exited quite nicely, but you know, walked away with a good amount of
money.
628
00:46:01,634 --> 00:46:13,114
But the classic, you might say, cliche, the Palo Alto cliche of, you know, a couple of
people in a garage, if they create a company, money just starts getting sucked towards
629
00:46:13,114 --> 00:46:15,414
them, you know, like a black hole.
630
00:46:15,734 --> 00:46:19,334
They grow like crazy, bang, know, IPO, whatever, in about three or four years.
631
00:46:19,334 --> 00:46:21,854
I mean, that is just so unlike legal tech.
632
00:46:21,854 --> 00:46:25,614
The vast majority of legal tech companies grow from, you know,
633
00:46:25,614 --> 00:46:29,394
their seed very slowly, really slowly.
634
00:46:29,394 --> 00:46:34,854
mean, you know, mean, I companies, good companies doing good work, making decent revenue.
635
00:46:35,274 --> 00:46:38,114
Many, many of them are way below $10 million.
636
00:46:38,754 --> 00:46:39,414
Right?
637
00:46:39,414 --> 00:46:42,114
that's not names that you will have heard of, right?
638
00:46:42,114 --> 00:46:47,594
I mean, there are, are, you know, there are household names, at least in the legal tech
world.
639
00:46:47,594 --> 00:46:50,154
You know, if I said X names here, you'd be like, yeah, yeah, yeah, of course.
640
00:46:50,154 --> 00:46:52,034
Really successful, great work.
641
00:46:52,034 --> 00:46:53,990
Brilliant, brilliant, You know.
642
00:46:54,074 --> 00:47:00,057
And you realize that they've been going for like eight years and their revenue is about 20
million.
643
00:47:00,057 --> 00:47:10,913
And when you look at their properties and you look at their marketing spend and you look
at their staff costs and then you look at the fact that actually because they're super,
644
00:47:10,913 --> 00:47:20,388
super, you know, leveraged up with investment and maybe some debt as well now, they're
actually not, if you actually look at the balance sheet for real, A, the revenue is
645
00:47:20,388 --> 00:47:23,714
relatively small for a company that's meant to be in the tech sector.
646
00:47:23,714 --> 00:47:26,055
that's been going for eight years, right?
647
00:47:26,495 --> 00:47:34,099
And secondly, if you actually look, if you drill down into the real numbers, that balance
sheet is pretty weak, right?
648
00:47:34,099 --> 00:47:38,921
But then they get bought by a much, much larger company who then, you know, does what they
do.
649
00:47:38,921 --> 00:47:45,884
that is actually more sort of slow, relatively slow growth is actually more than normal.
650
00:47:45,884 --> 00:47:50,846
So this idea you get like a hundred million or more and you grow like wildfire.
651
00:47:51,490 --> 00:47:54,002
That's almost unheard of in the legal tech world.
652
00:47:54,002 --> 00:47:55,295
It's really rare.
653
00:47:55,410 --> 00:47:56,300
It really is.
654
00:47:56,300 --> 00:48:07,563
And you know, the legal tech world is also, I have a blog post half written, maybe not
even half, but it's called legal tech is small town USA.
655
00:48:07,743 --> 00:48:12,784
And I use a metaphor of, know, the legal tech community is very tight knit.
656
00:48:12,784 --> 00:48:15,165
Um, I've been in it for 16 years.
657
00:48:15,165 --> 00:48:17,856
It took me five years before anybody took me seriously.
658
00:48:17,856 --> 00:48:21,527
Um, I don't, some, some may not still take me seriously.
659
00:48:21,527 --> 00:48:23,547
I don't know, but it took a while.
660
00:48:23,547 --> 00:48:27,900
And it took a lot of relationship building and everybody knows each other.
661
00:48:28,911 --> 00:48:40,831
and for someone to come in from the outside and grow and really, you know, uh, several of
the, I'm not talking about anybody in particular here, but several of these legal tech AI
662
00:48:40,831 --> 00:48:48,677
startups have, have kind of grown so fast, so quick, at least in terms of balance sheet
capital deployed.
663
00:48:48,680 --> 00:48:56,193
They haven't really had a chance to build these relationships and there's been a little
bit of skepticism, I think from the legal tech community about, is this, is this going to
664
00:48:56,193 --> 00:48:57,795
be a long-term winner here?
665
00:48:57,795 --> 00:49:01,026
Is there what's what's the deal with their tech?
666
00:49:01,026 --> 00:49:12,246
I think the ones from what I've seen, the ones that are planning or effectively, you know,
as you alluded to, like needing really, really massive revenue growth are looking at
667
00:49:12,246 --> 00:49:12,906
things differently.
668
00:49:12,906 --> 00:49:21,966
mean, a lot of the household names in the legal tech world, aside from people like Cleo
and other ones like that, generally have focused on big law, right?
669
00:49:23,246 --> 00:49:29,038
You know, you can make a pretty good living serving 40 or 50 very large law firms.
670
00:49:29,038 --> 00:49:31,618
Right, you've got a couple of thousand lawyers each.
671
00:49:32,218 --> 00:49:39,458
You're selling your licenses, I don't know, let's say the bottom is $20,000 and it goes up
to whatever, right?
672
00:49:39,458 --> 00:49:41,138
You've got 40 or 50 of those.
673
00:49:41,138 --> 00:49:43,158
That's a nice living, right?
674
00:49:43,438 --> 00:49:46,458
But you're never gonna get into the hundreds of millions of revenue just doing that.
675
00:49:46,458 --> 00:49:50,178
You've really got to open, you've got to open the market right up.
676
00:49:50,418 --> 00:49:52,078
So you've got to do small law.
677
00:49:52,078 --> 00:49:54,298
You've got to get into every small law firm.
678
00:49:54,298 --> 00:49:55,738
You've got to get into mid-sized law firms.
679
00:49:55,738 --> 00:49:57,110
You've got to go in-house.
680
00:49:57,110 --> 00:49:59,721
You've got to get into government even perhaps.
681
00:49:59,721 --> 00:50:01,492
You've got to get into everything.
682
00:50:01,492 --> 00:50:04,014
You've got to be like Thomson Reuters or Lexis, right?
683
00:50:04,014 --> 00:50:10,998
You've got to be indispensable to literally hundreds of thousands of lawyers and different
organizations.
684
00:50:10,998 --> 00:50:11,678
And they can do that.
685
00:50:11,678 --> 00:50:15,130
Most companies can do that, of course, because they were very smart, very early on.
686
00:50:15,130 --> 00:50:20,863
And I don't know if they did it because they knew what was going to happen or they were
just very lucky that they got the data.
687
00:50:20,863 --> 00:50:24,407
They built those legal databases, great legal databases.
688
00:50:24,407 --> 00:50:26,516
I all the tech cameras layered on top.
689
00:50:26,604 --> 00:50:26,784
Right.
690
00:50:26,784 --> 00:50:29,255
But that put me in a fantastic position, right.
691
00:50:29,255 --> 00:50:34,178
The scaling because every lawyer who can afford it would like to get their hands on that
data.
692
00:50:34,178 --> 00:50:34,998
Right.
693
00:50:35,899 --> 00:50:37,240
Like the licensing.
694
00:50:37,240 --> 00:50:41,202
mean, I don't know how many customers Thompson Reuters has on its legal side.
695
00:50:41,562 --> 00:50:47,806
You know, in total, if you add every single individual, yeah, every single individual, it
must be gigantic.
696
00:50:47,806 --> 00:50:48,266
Right.
697
00:50:48,266 --> 00:50:49,247
So they can do that.
698
00:50:49,247 --> 00:50:50,487
They can do that.
699
00:50:50,928 --> 00:50:55,500
How many other companies are going to gain that kind of leverage?
700
00:50:56,150 --> 00:50:57,154
across the
701
00:50:57,248 --> 00:50:58,168
right.
702
00:50:59,269 --> 00:51:11,240
It's very hard and it takes time and it's not a, you know, the VC model is eight to 10
years on the long side of, you know, right?
703
00:51:11,240 --> 00:51:13,422
Yeah, it's, it's been pushing longer.
704
00:51:13,422 --> 00:51:23,921
It used to be even shorter, but you know, VC investors, these limited partners expect to
return, um, a significant return cause it's a high risk and, uh, you know, high risk
705
00:51:23,921 --> 00:51:24,861
investment.
706
00:51:24,861 --> 00:51:33,233
fairly quickly and I'm looking at these companies and wondering how the TAM and legal is
small, total addressable market.
707
00:51:33,233 --> 00:51:43,934
But I know you said, but this is the thing someone says to as I was in Palo Alto a couple
of years ago off the back of the our Legal Innovators Conference in San Francisco.
708
00:51:44,214 --> 00:51:51,114
And someone I was talking about, you know, joking, I said, yeah, hey, I should should
create my own legal tech company, you know, spent years in this field.
709
00:51:51,714 --> 00:51:55,774
And they said, yeah, but you'd you'd never make it through the VC round.
710
00:51:55,774 --> 00:51:57,054
And said, well, how do you mean?
711
00:51:57,054 --> 00:52:01,670
Because you like to tell things as they are, at least how you think they are.
712
00:52:01,678 --> 00:52:03,878
And that's not what a lot of VCs want.
713
00:52:03,878 --> 00:52:12,938
VCs want you to paint them a picture, tell them a story, because they're not going to be
around to pick up the end of that story.
714
00:52:12,938 --> 00:52:19,198
They're going to drop off about halfway through, and someone else is going to pick it up,
a private equity fund or a much larger corporate or whoever.
715
00:52:19,198 --> 00:52:20,678
It's going to be a trade buy.
716
00:52:21,378 --> 00:52:24,238
And so that's one of the challenges, isn't it?
717
00:52:24,598 --> 00:52:28,878
You throw 100 million or 50 million or 20 million in a company.
718
00:52:28,878 --> 00:52:31,478
It does grow temporarily quite rapidly.
719
00:52:31,478 --> 00:52:32,238
It looks good.
720
00:52:32,238 --> 00:52:36,538
You the hockey stick started to form and you say, right guys, I'm out of here.
721
00:52:37,158 --> 00:52:39,858
right now it's your problem.
722
00:52:40,318 --> 00:52:41,238
You deal with it.
723
00:52:41,238 --> 00:52:43,158
You grow this thing like crazy.
724
00:52:43,958 --> 00:52:48,318
You know, I mean, how many companies have been bought and then written off?
725
00:52:50,104 --> 00:52:53,017
so many, so many.
726
00:52:53,017 --> 00:52:54,188
Yeah.
727
00:52:54,188 --> 00:53:03,737
Even in my little niche, know, Thompson Reuters, so we are internet extranet platform and
there was a platform called XM Law.
728
00:53:03,737 --> 00:53:06,119
Good buddy of mine, Rob Cicconi founded it.
729
00:53:06,119 --> 00:53:09,022
Thompson Reuters bought it and basically killed it.
730
00:53:09,022 --> 00:53:10,413
They did nothing with it.
731
00:53:10,555 --> 00:53:12,517
So it's, pretty common.
732
00:53:12,517 --> 00:53:14,029
Well, I know we're running out of time here.
733
00:53:14,029 --> 00:53:23,359
I want to make sure that I give you a minute or so to just tell people how to get in touch
or learn more about the content.
734
00:53:23,359 --> 00:53:25,251
Your content is fantastic.
735
00:53:25,251 --> 00:53:27,013
It's been an honor to have you on the show.
736
00:53:27,013 --> 00:53:33,399
I could talk for hours, but, um, tell people how, how they might find out more about your
work.
737
00:53:33,782 --> 00:53:34,943
Yeah, it's easy.
738
00:53:34,943 --> 00:53:42,670
Just go, just type in artificial lawyer into Google or your search engine of choice and
take it from there.
739
00:53:42,670 --> 00:53:53,198
And if you, if you're kind of person that likes in-person events, we also do the Legal
Innovators conferences, Legal Innovators UK in London in November.
740
00:53:53,198 --> 00:53:58,162
And we're doing the next big event will be in California in San Francisco, June.
741
00:53:58,310 --> 00:54:02,971
11th 12th in central San Francisco, which should be a lot of fun over two days.
742
00:54:02,971 --> 00:54:06,872
And it'll be our fourth event in the city.
743
00:54:07,653 --> 00:54:10,473
But generally, yeah, just type in artificial lawyer.
744
00:54:10,473 --> 00:54:13,754
I'm on LinkedIn every day, multiple times.
745
00:54:13,754 --> 00:54:15,705
I generally use my own personal account.
746
00:54:15,705 --> 00:54:22,417
So Richard Trowans, T-R-O-M-E-N-S, that's probably the easiest way to find me.
747
00:54:23,657 --> 00:54:27,399
yeah, thank you for listening and thank you for having me on the show.
748
00:54:27,399 --> 00:54:29,143
Yeah, it's been a pleasure.
749
00:54:29,143 --> 00:54:31,729
We didn't get to a lot of the stuff we were going to talk about.
750
00:54:31,729 --> 00:54:34,516
We had a great conversation and that's the goal.
751
00:54:34,516 --> 00:54:37,813
So maybe we can revisit at some point and do it.
752
00:54:37,813 --> 00:54:39,643
be honored to come back, thank you.
753
00:54:39,643 --> 00:54:40,124
Awesome.
754
00:54:40,124 --> 00:54:41,066
Well, great.
755
00:54:41,066 --> 00:54:46,534
I really appreciate your time and we'll maybe I'll see you at Legal Innovators.
756
00:54:46,534 --> 00:54:52,238
I'm going to make a note to take a look at that San Francisco conference and see if we can
put that on the calendar.
757
00:54:52,238 --> 00:54:53,358
Yeah, that would be awesome.
758
00:54:53,358 --> 00:54:54,163
That would be great.
759
00:54:54,163 --> 00:54:54,983
Good stuff.
760
00:54:54,983 --> 00:54:55,203
All right.
761
00:54:55,203 --> 00:54:57,243
Have a good rest of your afternoon.
762
00:54:57,523 --> 00:54:58,263
All right.
763
00:54:58,263 --> 00:54:59,245
Thanks a lot. -->
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